arXiv:2604. 22700v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling and predicting neurodegenerative disease progression from medical images remains a major challenge in medical AI, with significant implications for early diagnosis, disease monitoring, and treatment planning.
By Nivetha Jayakumar, Swakshar Deb, Bahram Jafrasteh, Qingyu Zhao, Miaomiao Zhang
The paper introduces a reverse spatio‑temporal disease progression model that reconstructs unobserved healthier anatomy from later diseased scans. It employs a two‑stage architecture: a frozen 3D vector‑quantised autoencoder creates a discrete latent space, and a Neural ODE learns continuous‑time dynamics, with a recurrent encoder initializing the latent state from reverse‑ordered observations. Experiments on a synthetic Morpho‑MNIST benchmark and longitudinal Alzheimer’s MRIs show the model can recover unseen prior states and outperform baseline methods in predicting healthy trajectories.
By Ulugbek Shernazarov, Moucheng Xu, Inomjon Ramatov
arXiv:2606. 18354v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent advances in generative machine learning models have significantly improved medical imaging, offering promising solutions for data augmentation, privacy preservation, and improved model generalization.
By Muge Zhang, Muhammad Ali Khaliq, Jamal Alsakran, Byeong Kil Lee, Jeeho Ryoo
arXiv:2512. 09185v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding disease progression is a central clinical challenge with direct implications for early diagnosis and personalized treatment.
By Hao Chen, Rui Yin, Yifan Chen, Qi Chen, Chao Li
The paper introduces Latent Drift, a generative forecasting framework that predicts slow-evolving neurodegenerative disease progression by learning changes in a compressed semantic representation rather than full-resolution anatomy. It addresses two failure modes—identity collapse and continuous interpolation trap—by removing pixel-level identity from the prediction target and applying Finite Scalar Quantization to suppress high-frequency nuisance fluctuations. Experiments on longitudinal 3D brain MRI demonstrate that Latent Drift outperforms diffusion and autoregressive transformer baselines in both generative fidelity and clinically relevant metrics.
By Yuxiang Feng, Juncheng Wang, Chao Xu, Wenlong Hou, Huihan Wang, Yijie Qian, Yang Liu, Baigui Sun, Yong Liu, Shujun Wang
arXiv:2608. 08173v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Longitudinal MRI enables sensitive measurement of structural brain change for studying aging and neurodegenerative disease.
By Jingru Fu, Kathleen E. Larson, Douglas N. Greve, Bruce Fischl, Malte Hoffmann
arXiv:2606. 24604v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Longitudinal modelling of Alzheimer's disease progression is clinically useful only if it can describe not just the most likely next diagnosis, but how a patient may evolve over time and how reliable that forecast is.
By Arya Hariharan, Shreyank N Gowda, Anala M R
arXiv:2603. 05693v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate longitudinal analysis of brain MRI is often hindered by evolving lesions, which bias automated neuroimaging pipelines.
By Zahra Karimaghaloo, Dumitru Fetco, Haz-Edine Assemlal, Hassan Rivaz, Douglas L. Arnold
arXiv:2606. 25185v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurately predicting the spatiotemporal evolution of amyloid-$\beta$ and tau proteins at the individual level is critical for improving the diagnosis and treatment of Alzheimer's disease.
By Xiaofeng Xu, Tingting Dan, Zifan Zhou, Bin Li, Guorong Wu, Wenrui Hao
NOAH is a generative transformer that models the entire multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space to capture continuous, stochastic clinical trajectories. Trained on over 559 million events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual simulations, yielding strong predictive performance across 15 ICD chapters, 29 comorbidities, and time‑to‑event outcomes.
NOAH is a generative transformer that learns the full multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space. Trained on over 559 million clinical events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual intervention simulation, yielding strong performance on clinical outcomes, ICD chapters, comorbidities, and time‑to‑event prediction.
By Tobias Susetzky, Raphael Rehms, Dmitrii Seletkov, \"Ozg\"un Turgut, Michelle Espranita Liman, Lisa Steinhelfer, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert
Longitudinal modelling of Alzheimer's disease progression is clinically useful only if it can describe not just the most likely next diagnosis, but how a patient may evolve over time and how reliable that forecast is. Most deep learning approaches reduce this problem to single-step classification, treating cognitively normal, mild cognitive impairment, and dementia as flat categories while providing limited insight into how uncertainty accumulates across future visits.