arXiv:2601. 17647v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Quantifying the causal relationship between sea ice thickness and sea surface height (SSH) is essential for understanding the mechanisms driving polar climate dynamics.
The paper introduces a Physics Informed Recurrent Neural Network (PIRNN) that simultaneously predicts target time series and unobservable intermediate physical variables, enhancing robustness and interpretability. It adapts to any physical model with multiple equations and variables, demonstrated on groundwater level predictions using the Gardenia model. Experiments on twelve real‑world datasets show PIRNN outperforming several neural network baselines and the Gardenia model, with an ablation study confirming the value of physical knowledge.
arXiv:2606. 17659v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study introduces enhancements to physics-constrained neural networks (PCNNs) that improve the accuracy and stability of hybrid short-term weather forecasting models.
Neptune is an end‑to‑end data‑driven framework that emulates global ocean and sea‑ice states for subseasonal‑to‑seasonal (S2S) forecasting up to 60 days. It combines Convolutional Neural Networks and Spherical Fourier Neural Operators to capture both local features and global cross‑scale interactions, producing daily outputs for temperature, salinity, currents, sea‑surface height, and sea‑ice metrics at 1° and 0.25° resolution. Evaluated against metrics such as RMSE, CRPS, ACC, and climate indices (ENSO, IOD), Neptune reproduces the spatio‑temporal evolution of oceanic fields and remains stable over long timescales.
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting is societally critical, supporting decision-making in sectors ranging from water and agricultural management to disaster risk reduction, energy planning, and...
Physics-enriched neural solvers for transient ice-flow simulation present a method where a neural network represents the glacier velocity field, warm-started from the previous time step and updated with few optimizer iterations. By feeding the network inexpensive input fields derived from low-order ice-flow balances, the solver improves robustness and accuracy across three real-world glacier configurations, achieving surface-velocity errors reduced by factors of two to four at fixed runtime. The approach enables a 300-year Aletsch simulation to finish in under one minute on a single GPU, demonstrating significant computational savings compared to traditional higher-order models.
arXiv:2510. 02415v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed.
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
arXiv:2606. 11162v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this work, we present COGENT, a continuous graph emulator with Neural Ordinary Differential Equations for long-term physical forecasting on irregular geospatial meshes.
arXiv:2606. 15288v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Greenland iceberg discharge exhibits complex nonlinear dynamics with limited observability, challenging traditional predictive models.
arXiv:2605. 29976v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We evaluate the climate simulation capabilities of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen, two machine learning models originally trained for weather forecasting and evaluated up to a 10-day lead time.
arXiv:2606. 12141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of sea surface temperature (SST) in regional seas such as the East Sea is crucial for monitoring marine ecosystems, assessing climate risks, managing fisheries, and conducting naval operations.