arXiv:2609.25505v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Rapid intensification (RI) remains one of the most consequential and difficult aspects of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting. Although full-physics nu...
By Shijie Xiao, Jonathan Lin, Thomas Ehrmann, Ali Sarhadi
arXiv:2601.21151v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Machine-learning approaches to weather forecasting often employ a monolithic architecture in which distinct physical mechanisms, such as advection,...
By Carlos A. Pereira, St\'ephane Gaudreault, Valentin Dallerit, Christopher Subich, Shoyon Panday, Siqi Wei, Sasa Zhang, Siddharth Rout, Eldad Haber, Raymond J. Spiteri, David Millard
arXiv:2504.06532v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular na...
By Hailong Shu, Weiwei Song, Yue Wang, Jiping Zhang
arXiv:2608.21767v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Accurate modeling of sea ice concentration (SIC) evolution is essential for polar climate assessment and short?range sea ice prediction. Numerical and...
By Maqun Zhang, Feng Gao, Wankun Chen, Hui Yu, Yanhai Gan, Junyu Dong
arXiv:2512. 04452v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: NORi is a machine learning (ML) parameterization of ocean boundary layer turbulence that is physics-based and augmented with neural networks.
By Xin Kai Lee, Ali Ramadhan, Andre Souza, Gregory LeClaire Wagner, Simone Silvestri, John Marshall, Raffaele Ferrari
Tianmu-TC is a physics‑constraints generative AI framework designed for global tropical cyclone forecasting. Trained on Western North Pacific data, it produces controllable outputs with reduced uncertainty, outperforming both deterministic and ensemble meteorological AI models as well as the ECMWF NWP system across global ocean basins. The model also demonstrates strong performance in challenging scenarios such as data sparsity, anomaly tracks, rapid intensification, and weakening, while maintaining significantly lower computational cost.
By Shiqi Zhang, Pan Mu, Cheng Huang, Hanting Yan, Yuchao Zhu, Jinglin Zhang, Shengyong Chen, Shoujuan Shu, Cong Bai