arXiv:2606. 17659v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study introduces enhancements to physics-constrained neural networks (PCNNs) that improve the accuracy and stability of hybrid short-term weather forecasting models.
arXiv:2609.25505v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Rapid intensification (RI) remains one of the most consequential and difficult aspects of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting. Although full-physics nu...
arXiv:2601.21151v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine-learning approaches to weather forecasting often employ a monolithic architecture in which distinct physical mechanisms, such as advection,...
arXiv:2504.06532v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular na...
arXiv:2608.21767v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate modeling of sea ice concentration (SIC) evolution is essential for polar climate assessment and short?range sea ice prediction. Numerical and...
arXiv:2512. 04452v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: NORi is a machine learning (ML) parameterization of ocean boundary layer turbulence that is physics-based and augmented with neural networks.
Tianmu-TC is a physics‑constraints generative AI framework designed for global tropical cyclone forecasting. Trained on Western North Pacific data, it produces controllable outputs with reduced uncertainty, outperforming both deterministic and ensemble meteorological AI models as well as the ECMWF NWP system across global ocean basins. The model also demonstrates strong performance in challenging scenarios such as data sparsity, anomaly tracks, rapid intensification, and weakening, while maintaining significantly lower computational cost.
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.
The paper introduces WDANet, a frequency‑aware forecasting framework that uses stationary wavelet decomposition, FiLM, and a dual‑branch encoder‑decoder to separately model trend and fluctuation components in typhoon gust prediction. Applied to offshore Western Pacific wind data, WDANet outperforms ECMWF‑HRES for short lead times, achieving higher accuracy within the first 6 hours and better RMSE/MAE during extreme wind events. The study suggests WDANet could improve offshore wind power operations, disaster warnings, and risk mitigation.
Physics-enriched neural solvers for transient ice-flow simulation present a method where a neural network represents the glacier velocity field, warm-started from the previous time step and updated with few optimizer iterations. By feeding the network inexpensive input fields derived from low-order ice-flow balances, the solver improves robustness and accuracy across three real-world glacier configurations, achieving surface-velocity errors reduced by factors of two to four at fixed runtime. The approach enables a 300-year Aletsch simulation to finish in under one minute on a single GPU, demonstrating significant computational savings compared to traditional higher-order models.
The paper evaluates a physics-informed neural network (PINN) for short‑horizon atmospheric temperature forecasting where observations are sparse. Using ERA5 data at three pressure levels, the PINN outperforms persistence, local‑trend, and two neural‑network baselines, with mean RMSE improvements ranging from 8.1 % at one hour to 23.8 % at three hours. The advantage persists under severe observation sparsity and transfers across regions, though it degrades in complex terrain, highlighting limits of a fixed vertical‑coordinate representation.
arXiv:2609.24882v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hybrid AI-physics climate modeling aims to improve coarse (~100km-resolution) Earth system models by learning to parameterize subgrid processes from hi...
arXiv:2607. 10208v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate meteorological forecasting is essential for agricultural planning, irrigation management, and environmental decision support.