Neptune is an end‑to‑end data‑driven framework that emulates global ocean and sea‑ice states for subseasonal‑to‑seasonal (S2S) forecasting up to 60 days. It combines Convolutional Neural Networks and Spherical Fourier Neural Operators to capture both local features and global cross‑scale interactions, producing daily outputs for temperature, salinity, currents, sea‑surface height, and sea‑ice metrics at 1° and 0.25° resolution. Evaluated against metrics such as RMSE, CRPS, ACC, and climate indices (ENSO, IOD), Neptune reproduces the spatio‑temporal evolution of oceanic fields and remains stable over long timescales.
By Davide Donno, Italo Epicoco, Massimo Cafaro, Gabriele Accarino, Mohammad M. Amirian, Viviana Acquaviva, Paola Nassisi, Doroteaciro Iovino, Annalisa Bracco, Simona Masina, Pierre Gentine
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting is societally critical, supporting decision-making in sectors ranging from water and agricultural management to disaster risk reduction, energy planning, and...
arXiv:2606. 12141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of sea surface temperature (SST) in regional seas such as the East Sea is crucial for monitoring marine ecosystems, assessing climate risks, managing fisheries, and conducting naval operations.
By Sherkhon Azimov, Susana L\'opez-Moreno, Eric Dolores-Cuenca, JinYong Choi, Sangil Kim
arXiv:2512. 03606v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable.
By Matteo Peduto, Qidong Yang, Jonathan Giezendanner, Devis Tuia, Sherrie Wang
arXiv:2606. 02610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ocean general circulation models (OGCMs) are essential to climate science but computationally expensive, limiting ensemble size and forcing scenarios.
By Yuan Yuan, Jesse Rusak, Alexander Merose, Adam Subel, Pavel Perezhogin, Alistair Adcroft, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Laure Zanna
arXiv:2608. 04230v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning models for scientific spatio-temporal downscaling often minimize reconstruction error while failing to preserve physically meaningful multi-scale structure.
By Parth Doshi, Priyanka Aravindan, Vaishnav Vaidheeswaran, Md Mahbub Alam, Gabriel Spadon
HClimRep‑Ocean is a machine‑learning emulator that operates directly on the native unstructured mesh of the FESOM2 ocean model, trained on a 209‑year AWI‑CM3 control run and run without atmospheric forcing except at initialization. It shows strong skill for current forecasts at 30‑day lead times, outperforming all references, while temperature and salinity forecasts are best served by a damped‑anomaly persistence approach. In independent OceanBench testing, a reanalysis‑trained variant achieves the lowest RMSE against GLORYS reanalysis, demonstrating the competitiveness of the native‑mesh approach.
By Kacper Nowak, Aleksei Koldunov, Nikolay Koldunov, Savvas Melidonis, Ankit Patnala, Simon Grasse, Julius Polz, Christian Lessig, Martin Schultz, Thomas Jung
OceanDepths is the first open, global, AI‑ready dataset that pairs satellite‑derived sea surface temperature, salinity, and height with co‑located EN4 subsurface temperature and salinity profiles, complemented by GLORYS12 reanalysis data. It covers 2000–2024 at 0.1°×0.1° spatial resolution and weekly temporal resolution, providing over 9.5 million paired profiles interpolated to 50 depth levels. The dataset’s 4‑D multivariate structure, high resolution, long temporal extent, and extreme sparsity of subsurface observations make it a challenging testbed for novel AI methods, with demonstrated use in subsurface state reconstruction and potential for observation‑based forecasting.
By Simon Donike, Ruben Cartuyvels, Antonino Ian Ferola, Elisa Carli, Diego Fernandez Prieto, Marie-Helene Rio
arXiv:2607. 19147v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-driven methods have revolutionized ocean modeling, yet current approaches rely heavily on complete reanalysis datasets, imposing computational constraints and limiting model performance to that of the training data.
By Yangyang Kong, Yutong Jiang, Yanhai Gan, Junyu Dong, Feng Gao, Xiaopei Lin
arXiv:2606. 13302v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wave parameters in the nearshore are crucial for coastal engineering, shoreline protection, marine hazard assessment, and coastal management for climate resilience.
By Abubakar Hamisu Kamagata, Dharm Singh Jat, Attlee Munyaradzi Gamundani, Abhishek Srivastava, Paramasivam Saravanakumar
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.
By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv:2606. 28546v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in AI-driven weather and climate modeling have improved forecast skill while reducing computational cost.
By Anisha Pal, Aodhan Sweeney, Kyle Heyblom, Kalai Ramea