Physics-Informed Machine Learning for Short-Term Flood Prediction
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
The paper introduces a Physics Informed Recurrent Neural Network (PIRNN) that simultaneously predicts target time series and unobservable intermediate physical variables, enhancing robustness and interpretability. It adapts to any physical model with multiple equations and variables, demonstrated on groundwater level predictions using the Gardenia model. Experiments on twelve real‑world datasets show PIRNN outperforming several neural network baselines and the Gardenia model, with an ablation study confirming the value of physical knowledge.
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
arXiv:2606. 16076v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate forecasting in physical systems requires models that predict coupled temporal variables while preserving meaningful state evolution.
arXiv:2606. 08956v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scientists have historically relied on mathematical models based on differential equations to relate system inputs -- forces, fluxes, or heat sources -- to outputs, such as displacement, velocity, concentration, and temperature.
arXiv:2608. 13215v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting the long-horizon evolution of mechanical systems from position-only observations is a pivotal yet difficult task, as hidden velocities and trajectory-specific physical properties must be inferred simultaneously.
arXiv:2505. 02979v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We propose a novel inverse-modelling approach that estimates the parameters of a simple land-surface model (LSM) by assimilating data into a differentiable, physics-based forward model formulated using convolutional operations.
GenONet introduces a Spatio-Temporal U-DeepONet architecture that serves as a generator in a GAN framework for high‑resolution precipitation nowcasting up to three hours ahead. By learning continuous‑time precipitation dynamics with a Deep Operator Network and enforcing physics through a moisture‑conservation loss, the model produces sharp, physically consistent forecasts that outperform baselines, especially for high‑intensity events and longer lead times. Ablation studies confirm the added value of the physics‑informed regularizer and the synergy of operator learning with adversarial training.
The study evaluates crop‑yield forecasting methods for the 2012 Midwestern US drought, comparing non‑deep learning machine learning models with a deep learning model (VITA) using 16 meteorological predictors. It highlights challenges such as distributional dissimilarity between training and test data, spatial and temporal sparsity, and demonstrates that sample weighting and feature selection improve non‑deep learning models but not VITA. The work contrasts deep versus non‑deep learning approaches and shows how modifications can mitigate issues arising from extreme drought conditions.
arXiv:2607. 00460v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting complex spatiotemporal dynamics in physical processes often demands computationally expensive numerical methods or data-driven neural networks that suffer from high training costs, error accumulation, and limited generalizability to unseen parameters.
arXiv:2608. 07681v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate and robust time series forecasting is essential in many applications involving physical processes, such as manufacturing monitoring and astrophysical event detection.
arXiv:2608.21767v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate modeling of sea ice concentration (SIC) evolution is essential for polar climate assessment and short?range sea ice prediction. Numerical and...
arXiv:2512. 03578v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series extrinsic regression (TSER) refers to the task of predicting a continuous target variable from an input time series.
arXiv:2602. 12706v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Neural operators have emerged as fast surrogate solvers for parametric partial differential equations (PDEs).