arXiv Machine Learning

The Equilibrium Response of Atmospheric Machine-Learning Models to Uniform Sea Surface Temperature Warming

arXiv:2510. 02415v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed.

arXiv AI
Jul 7

Evaluating Skill and Stability of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen under Multi-Decadal Climate Simulations

arXiv:2605. 29976v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We evaluate the climate simulation capabilities of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen, two machine learning models originally trained for weather forecasting and evaluated up to a 10-day lead time.

By Renu Singh, Robert Brunstein, Antonia Jost, Yana Hasson, Thomas Rackow, Claire Monteleoni, Christian Lessig, Guillaume Couairon
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

How Can Machine Learning Emulators Best Support Climate Science?

arXiv:2603. 22320v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: For decades, physics-based climate models have been used to provide insights for climate decision-making.

By Luca Schmidt, Nina Effenberger, Vitus Benson, Philine L. Bommer, Robert Brunstein, Mikel N. Legasa, Maxim Samarin, Maybritt Schillinger
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.

By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Parameter estimation for land-surface models using Neural Physics

arXiv:2505. 02979v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We propose a novel inverse-modelling approach that estimates the parameters of a simple land-surface model (LSM) by assimilating data into a differentiable, physics-based forward model formulated using convolutional operations.

By Ruiyue Huang, Claire E. Heaney, Maarten van Reeuwijk
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

High-Resolution Climate Projections Using Diffusion-Based Downscaling of a Lightweight Climate Emulator

arXiv:2602. 13416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting.

By Haiwen Guan, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Moein Darman, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 17

Optimal scenario design for climate emulation

As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints. However, for machine-learning surrogate climate models (emulators), we show that the low structural diversity in existing scenarios commonly used to generate training data places a ceiling on predictive skill.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Optimal scenario design for climate emulation

arXiv:2606. 19302v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints.

By Christopher B. Womack, Shahine Bouabid, Andrei Sokolov, Popat Salunke, Glenn Flierl, Sebastian D. Eastham, Noelle E. Selin