arXiv:2610.09770v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Deep learning has made rapid advances in weather forecasting: autoregressive models trained on atmospheric reanalyses now rival dynamical models acro...
By Tom Beucler, J. David Neelin, Hui Su, Shivanshi Asthana, Chris Bretherton, Will Chapman, Costa Christopoulos, Spencer K. Clark, Aditya Grover, Ignacio Lopez-Gomez, Tapio Schneider, Adam Subel, Oliver Watt-Meyer
arXiv:2608. 09948v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: No single AI weather model excels at all variables, pressure levels, and lead times.
By Qiang Wu, Han Li, Jianping Huang
arXiv:2609.24882v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Hybrid AI-physics climate modeling aims to improve coarse (~100km-resolution) Earth system models by learning to parameterize subgrid processes from hi...
By Jurij Sch\"onfeld, Tom Beucler, Julien Savre, Steven Sherwood, Veronika Eyring
arXiv:2605.16929v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Global climate models are essential tools to simulate past and potential future pathways of climate change, as well as associated climate impacts....
By Graham Clyne, Julia Kaltenborn, Peer Nowack, Claire Monteleoni, Anastase Charantonis
As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints. However, for machine-learning surrogate climate models (emulators), we show that the low structural diversity in existing scenarios commonly used to generate training data places a ceiling on predictive skill.
arXiv:2512.22814v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Accurate long-range weather forecasting remains a major challenge for AI models, both because errors accumulate over autoregressive rollouts and be...
By Scott A. Martin, Noah Brenowitz, Dale Durran, Michael Pritchard
Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states. Yet in a warming world, improving early warnings of extreme heat is an increasingly critical challenge.
arXiv:2607. 28220v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states.
By Cas Decancq, Thomas Mortier, Jessica Keune, Diego G. Miralles
arXiv:2607. 21080v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon weather forecasting is a fundamental challenge in atmospheric science, for which autoregressive Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) has emerged as the primary paradigm.
By Yun-Ye Cai, Hsuan-Tien Lin
arXiv:2606. 07898v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-resolution regional climate simulations provide critical information for climate impacts assessments but remain computationally expensive, motivating the development of machine-learning downscalers and emulators.
By Karandeep Singh, Stefan Rahimi, Chad W. Thackeray, Stephen Cropper, Alex Hall
arXiv:2606. 19302v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints.
By Christopher B. Womack, Shahine Bouabid, Andrei Sokolov, Popat Salunke, Glenn Flierl, Sebastian D. Eastham, Noelle E. Selin
arXiv:2607. 20778v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Weather forecasting foundation models (FMs) are increasingly fine-tuned to predict air quality, offering fast global pollution forecasts at lower computational cost than conventional chemical transport models.
By Jason Y. Hu, Ivan Higuera-Mendieta, Patrick Obin Sturm, Makoto M. Kelp