The paper investigates when online adaptation benefits edge time‑series forecasting under distribution drift, using a leakage‑free streaming protocol on six public multivariate datasets. It shows that the warmup budget for static baselines and the choice of learning rate can bias perceived adaptation gains, and that a validation‑only procedure selecting warmup and optimizer rates yields Adam outperforming SGD with momentum in most settings. The study also examines accuracy versus adaptation‑state memory and per‑update latency for different adaptation strategies, highlighting parameter‑efficient variants that are nondominated on the memory axis.
arXiv:2608. 19488v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Production machine learning systems degrade under concept drift, yet practitioners have little principled guidance on when to retrain.
The paper introduces the Stream Cruise Control Method (SCCM), a framework for detecting and adapting to concept drift in online regression. SCCM performs early-response drift detection, quantifies drift magnitude, applies KPI-window-based thresholding to reduce false alarms, dynamically tunes hyperparameters, and recalibrates models, all within an in-memory design for real-time operation. Evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that SCCM improves predictive performance compared to eight baseline detector–adaptation methods.
arXiv:2606. 25068v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Online time-series forecasters receive labels only after horizon-dependent delays, while every adaptation step spends limited compute.
arXiv:2608. 20024v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: District heating energy hubs require reliable heat load forecasts for efficient operational scheduling.
arXiv:2608.30923v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Stream learning is commonly evaluated through predictive performance and adaptation to concept drift. However, sustained operation of a stream learne...
arXiv:2607. 00958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series are central to modern data mining applications, from industrial telemetry and server metrics to finance and physiology, yet time-series self-supervised learning often depends on view and augmentation choices that encode domain-specific invariances.
District heating energy hubs require reliable heat load forecasts for efficient operational scheduling. Conventional forecasting workflows train system-specific models on historical data, which can become burdensome when networks change through new consumers, retrofits, or changing operating regimes.
arXiv:2602. 06136v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Test-time adaptation (TTA) offers a compelling remedy for machine learning (ML) models that degrade under domain shifts, improving generalisation on-the-fly with only unlabelled samples.
arXiv:2606. 04074v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive patching is a recent and compelling proposal for time-series Transformers: allocate finer patches where the sequence looks locally informative.
arXiv:2608.23601v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: EDA flow parameter tuning is critical for quality-of-results~(QoR), yet the parameter space is large, tightly coupled, and full evaluations are prohi...
arXiv:2608. 02845v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular model performance degrades when feature distributions change over time or the relationship between features and outcome variables change over time, known as data drift and concept drift, respectively.
arXiv:2609.01244v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Every supervised fine-tuning run forces the same chain of decisions, such as learning rate, batch size, LoRA or full fine-tuning, how many epochs, whic...