A two-stage forecasting system is introduced for predicting CPU workload in private clouds. The model first forecasts customer service requests in Transactions Per Second (TPS) and then estimates future CPU usage from the TPS forecast, both stages using XGBoost within a cascaded architecture. Experiments on real private‑cloud traces show SMAPE below 7% for most applications, with the best case achieving an MAE of 0.7372 and an R² of 0.9185, and stable error accumulation over a 60‑step horizon.
By Ashir Javeed, Anton Borg, H{\aa}kan Grahn, Lars Lundberg, Dhyey Patel, Sogand Shirinbab
arXiv:2608. 19488v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Production machine learning systems degrade under concept drift, yet practitioners have little principled guidance on when to retrain.
By Sawan Dasari
The paper investigates when online adaptation benefits edge time‑series forecasting under distribution drift, using a leakage‑free streaming protocol on six public multivariate datasets. It shows that the warmup budget for static baselines and the choice of learning rate can bias perceived adaptation gains, and that a validation‑only procedure selecting warmup and optimizer rates yields Adam outperforming SGD with momentum in most settings. The study also examines accuracy versus adaptation‑state memory and per‑update latency for different adaptation strategies, highlighting parameter‑efficient variants that are nondominated on the memory axis.
By Takumi Fujimoto, Hiroaki Nishi
arXiv:2608.30923v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Stream learning is commonly evaluated through predictive performance and adaptation to concept drift. However, sustained operation of a stream learne...
By Sebastian Buschj\"ager, Nuwan Gunasekara, Heitor Murilo Gomes
The paper introduces the Stream Cruise Control Method (SCCM), a framework for detecting and adapting to concept drift in online regression. SCCM performs early-response drift detection, quantifies drift magnitude, applies KPI-window-based thresholding to reduce false alarms, dynamically tunes hyperparameters, and recalibrates models, all within an in-memory design for real-time operation. Evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that SCCM improves predictive performance compared to eight baseline detector–adaptation methods.
By Mohammad Abu-Shaira, Weishi Shi
arXiv:2605. 26919v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Maintaining predictive accuracy in non-stationary environments requires online model selection to adapt autonomously to unknown distribution shifts.
By Kei Takemura, Ryuta Matsuno, Keita Sakuma