arXiv:2606. 25068v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Online time-series forecasters receive labels only after horizon-dependent delays, while every adaptation step spends limited compute.
arXiv:2608. 07719v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Offline reinforcement learning repeatedly trains policies from a fixed transition pool, making redundant data costly across seeds and hyperparameters, while naive subsampling can remove rare transitions needed for long-horizon credit assignment.
arXiv:2606. 05606v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM post-training often relies on reinforcement learning methods that sample multiple rollouts per prompt, yet most existing approaches use a fixed rollout budget for every prompt, despite large differences in the training signal different prompts provide.
arXiv:2605. 26919v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Maintaining predictive accuracy in non-stationary environments requires online model selection to adapt autonomously to unknown distribution shifts.
arXiv:2606. 17266v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Production planning increasingly has to treat workforce capability as a decision variable: certifications lapse when skills are not maintained, new products require skills the current workforce does not hold, and reskilling competes for the same worker hours needed for production.
The paper investigates when online adaptation benefits edge time‑series forecasting under distribution drift, using a leakage‑free streaming protocol on six public multivariate datasets. It shows that the warmup budget for static baselines and the choice of learning rate can bias perceived adaptation gains, and that a validation‑only procedure selecting warmup and optimizer rates yields Adam outperforming SGD with momentum in most settings. The study also examines accuracy versus adaptation‑state memory and per‑update latency for different adaptation strategies, highlighting parameter‑efficient variants that are nondominated on the memory axis.
arXiv:2608. 19488v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Production machine learning systems degrade under concept drift, yet practitioners have little principled guidance on when to retrain.
arXiv:2607. 08789v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian and multiplicative-weights updates reweight experts, models, or actions from sequential feedback.
arXiv:2606. 10187v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We develop a decision-calibrated conformal framework for pacing decisions in streaming advertising.
arXiv:2606. 11711v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Online learning with delayed feedback typically assumes that the learner can track all pending rounds until their feedback arrives.
arXiv:2608. 16216v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: What is the right delay complexity when a learner can track only $C$ pending feedback items and discarded feedback is permanently lost?
arXiv:2607. 26253v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) is bottlenecked by rollout generation, yet many sampled prompts produce saturated groups (all responses correct or all incorrect) whose zero reward variance yields no policy-gradient signal.
Dynamic Regime-Aware Conformal Prediction (DRACP) is a new method that blends density‑ratio estimation, localized kernel weighting, and probabilistic regime‑aware weighting with a self‑tuning online significance controller to produce reliable prediction intervals under multiple distribution shifts. The authors prove finite‑sample validity with oracle weights, provide a coverage‑gap bound for estimated weights, and give deterministic or regret guarantees for the online controller. In experiments on 48 real forecasting series—including euro‑area inflation, US macroeconomic and energy indicators, and daily financial data—DRACP achieves the most reliable calibration, maintaining coverage close to the nominal 0.90 and never falling below 0.80, while other methods achieve narrower intervals but with higher under‑coverage. whyItMatters":"DRACP offers a principled trade‑off between calibration and efficiency, ensuring that prediction intervals meet coverage standards even when economic data exhibit covariate shift, concept drift, and latent regimes."