Mortality forecasting plays an important role in actuarial and policy decision-making, but its implementation remains technically complex and inaccessible to non-expert users. This project proposes a reliable large language model (LLM)-integrated interface that improves usability while maintaining statistical power.
arXiv:2606. 06235v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mortality forecasting plays an important role in actuarial and policy decision-making, but its implementation remains technically complex and inaccessible to non-expert users.
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
SSMCGM-Stream is a streaming state‑space model designed for personalized diabetes management. It updates a hidden state with each new glucose reading, enabling constant‑time forecasting, physiologically structured counterfactual reasoning, and interpretable forecasts via hidden‑state attribution. The model, evaluated on the T1DEXI cohort, matches strong neural baselines in accuracy while significantly lowering computational cost, making continuous on‑device decision support feasible.
The paper introduces Empirical Research Assistance (ERA), an autonomous system that employs Large Language Model‑guided tree search to create, evaluate, and refine executable forecasting software for infectious diseases. In a real‑time evaluation during the 2025‑26 U.S. respiratory season, ERA produced diverse models for influenza, COVID‑19, and RSV, and an ensemble of these models outperformed the CDC’s gold‑standard forecast ensembles across all three pathogens. ERA also demonstrated robustness in data‑scarce RSV scenarios and showed that higher‑tier language models and specific optimization metrics can improve forecast accuracy.
arXiv:2606. 19183v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) can make clinical decision support more accessible by interpreting free-text documentation, but their direct use as diagnostic engines is limited by sensitivity to prompts, information order, and plausible but incorrect outputs.
arXiv:2606. 09852v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: High-quality source code documentation is vital yet often neglected, especially in critical domains like healthcare where reliability and maintainability are essential.
Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.
We investigate whether information about time-to-event risk estimated by a Cox proportional hazards model can be transferred into a generative large language model. We propose a text-based survival modelling pipeline in which structured clinical covariates are converted into text prompts and a Qwen-based large language model is fine-tuned to generate patient-specific survival risk using Cox model predictions as a training target.
arXiv:2609.14819v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have a growing range of applications in medicine, and their evaluation is critical for ensuring they provide benefit and...
arXiv:2608. 10273v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deploying large language models (LLMs) for decision support in emergency departments (EDs) faces two major challenges: privacy risks of transmitting patient data to closed-source commercial LLMs and the lack of systematic evaluation of fine-tuning strategies for locally deployable open-source small language models (SLMs).
arXiv:2607. 03882v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LLMs are increasingly deployed as post-hoc explainers of AI-generated outputs, yet it remains unclear whether they can reliably communicate probabilistic information in natural language.