arXiv:2606. 06235v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mortality forecasting plays an important role in actuarial and policy decision-making, but its implementation remains technically complex and inaccessible to non-expert users.
Mortality forecasting plays an important role in actuarial and policy decision-making, but its implementation remains technically complex and inaccessible to non-expert users. This project proposes a reliable large language model (LLM)-integrated interface that improves usability while maintaining statistical power.
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
The paper introduces Empirical Research Assistance (ERA), an autonomous system that employs Large Language Model‑guided tree search to create, evaluate, and refine executable forecasting software for infectious diseases. In a real‑time evaluation during the 2025‑26 U.S. respiratory season, ERA produced diverse models for influenza, COVID‑19, and RSV, and an ensemble of these models outperformed the CDC’s gold‑standard forecast ensembles across all three pathogens. ERA also demonstrated robustness in data‑scarce RSV scenarios and showed that higher‑tier language models and specific optimization metrics can improve forecast accuracy.
arXiv:2508. 09904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Real-world forecasting requires models to integrate not only historical data but also relevant contextual information provided in textual form.
Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...
SafeTune is a source‑available library that consolidates four safety‑intervention paradigms—post‑hoc weight recovery, safety‑constrained fine‑tuning, gradient‑based unlearning, and inference‑time steering—into a single, configuration‑driven workflow. It offers shared interpretability, evaluation, and deployment tools, and its modular registry allows easy addition of new methods, benchmarks, judges, models, and fine‑tuning domains. The authors demonstrate SafeTune with controlled comparisons and case studies in finance and medical deployments, showing how it characterizes safety drift, evaluates interventions on refusal‑behavior and capability metrics, and supports calibrated or layered mitigation.
CastClaw is an interactive forecasting system that combines an autonomous forecasting loop with a forecasting-oriented harness. Users define and refine forecasting tasks in natural language via command-line or Web interfaces, while an internal large language model agent selects tool actions or requests human feedback, using checked results to guide the forecasting process. The system integrates tool execution, state management, and validation, and has been evaluated on five public electricity‑price datasets, outperforming 16 baselines in point‑estimate MSE and MAE, with case studies on Nord Pool and North China electricity‑load data.
arXiv:2607. 03882v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LLMs are increasingly deployed as post-hoc explainers of AI-generated outputs, yet it remains unclear whether they can reliably communicate probabilistic information in natural language.
arXiv:2606. 19183v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) can make clinical decision support more accessible by interpreting free-text documentation, but their direct use as diagnostic engines is limited by sensitivity to prompts, information order, and plausible but incorrect outputs.
arXiv:2608. 10273v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deploying large language models (LLMs) for decision support in emergency departments (EDs) faces two major challenges: privacy risks of transmitting patient data to closed-source commercial LLMs and the lack of systematic evaluation of fine-tuning strategies for locally deployable open-source small language models (SLMs).
arXiv:2608.30976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate doma...
SSMCGM-Stream is a streaming state‑space model designed for personalized diabetes management. It updates a hidden state with each new glucose reading, enabling constant‑time forecasting, physiologically structured counterfactual reasoning, and interpretable forecasts via hidden‑state attribution. The model, evaluated on the T1DEXI cohort, matches strong neural baselines in accuracy while significantly lowering computational cost, making continuous on‑device decision support feasible.