Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...
CastClaw is an interactive forecasting system that combines an autonomous forecasting loop with a forecasting-oriented harness. Users define and refine forecasting tasks in natural language via command-line or Web interfaces, while an internal large language model agent selects tool actions or requests human feedback, using checked results to guide the forecasting process. The system integrates tool execution, state management, and validation, and has been evaluated on five public electricity‑price datasets, outperforming 16 baselines in point‑estimate MSE and MAE, with case studies on Nord Pool and North China electricity‑load data.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Bokai Pan, Qi Liu, Shijin Wang, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2610.19725v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real- world applications still requires task-specific designs for m...
By Haoxin Liu, Deqing Fu, Lucheng Fu, Yiqiao Jin, Rushi Qiang, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash
arXiv:2608. 03339v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Enterprise forecasting increasingly relies on autonomous agents that interpret documents, search for data, generate code, and revise models.
By Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Hyeokjun Choe, Soonyoung Lee
Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real-world applications still requires task-specific designs for model inputs and outputs. Direct inference can leav...
arXiv:2607. 23983v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Operational flood forecasting depends on tacit forecaster expertise that is difficult to formalize, audit, and transfer.
By Qingyi Yang, Siqian Qiu, Bing Li, Xu Shan, Jia Feng, Shunan Zhou, Xudong Zhou, Tiantian Xing, Jiale Guo, Xiaoyi Dong, Gaoyu Liu, Xiaohuan Liu, Haiqing Pu, Qingwen Deng, Xun Zhang, Zhongrun Xiang, Haiyang Qian, Ying Yan, Yongkang Xu, Nuo Lei, Tianlong Jia, Baoying Shan, Carlo De Michele
arXiv:2606. 02497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation.
By Yuhua Liao, Zetian Wang, Qiangqiang Nie, Zhenhua Zhang
TimeRSI is a self‑improving deployment system for time‑series foundation models that automates the creation and refinement of forecasting pipelines. A coding agent translates task descriptions into executable changes, tests each revision on historical data, and uses error feedback to guide further revisions. During live deployment, an adaptive selector chooses the best pipeline based on completed forecasts under similar conditions, achieving superior performance on 198 tasks compared to all other submissions.
By Haoxin Liu, Deqing Fu, Lucheng Fu, Yiqiao Jin, Rushi Qiang, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
CastFlow is a role‑specialized agentic forecasting framework that combines general‑purpose tool reasoning with specialized temporal forecasting. It uses an Experience Memory to guide a frozen LLM in acquiring evidence via a multi‑view toolkit, then a lightweight specialized LLM refines predictions through evidence‑grounded reasoning. The two‑stage training strategy—supervised fine‑tuning followed by reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards—optimizes the specialized model based on final forecasting outcomes, achieving superior performance on nine out of ten real‑world benchmarks.
By Bokai Pan, Mingyue Cheng, Xiaoyu Tao, Zhiding Liu, Shuo Yu, Yuchong Wu, Qi Liu, Defu Lian, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2505. 15354v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting models often produce systematic, predictable errors even in critical domains such as energy, finance, and healthcare.
By Malik Tiomoko, Hamza Cherkaoui, Giuseppe Paolo, Zhang Yili, Yu Meng, Zhang Keli, Hafiz Tiomoko Ali
arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.
By Zhixian Wang, Leandro Von Krannichfeldt, Qingsong Wen, Chaoli Zhang, Liang Sun, Shirui Pan, Yi Wang