Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...
arXiv:2608.30976v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate doma...
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Bokai Pan, Qi Liu, Shijin Wang, Enhong Chen
Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real-world applications still requires task-specific designs for model inputs and outputs. Direct inference can leav...
TimeRSI is a self‑improving deployment system for time‑series foundation models that automates the creation and refinement of forecasting pipelines. A coding agent translates task descriptions into executable changes, tests each revision on historical data, and uses error feedback to guide further revisions. During live deployment, an adaptive selector chooses the best pipeline based on completed forecasts under similar conditions, achieving superior performance on 198 tasks compared to all other submissions.
By Haoxin Liu, Deqing Fu, Lucheng Fu, Yiqiao Jin, Rushi Qiang, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash
arXiv:2610.19725v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Time-series foundation models provide strong zero-shot forecast, but deployment for real- world applications still requires task-specific designs for m...
By Haoxin Liu, Deqing Fu, Lucheng Fu, Yiqiao Jin, Rushi Qiang, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash
arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.
By Zhixian Wang, Leandro Von Krannichfeldt, Qingsong Wen, Chaoli Zhang, Liang Sun, Shirui Pan, Yi Wang
arXiv:2608. 03339v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Enterprise forecasting increasingly relies on autonomous agents that interpret documents, search for data, generate code, and revise models.
By Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Hyeokjun Choe, Soonyoung Lee
arXiv:2505. 15354v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting models often produce systematic, predictable errors even in critical domains such as energy, finance, and healthcare.
By Malik Tiomoko, Hamza Cherkaoui, Giuseppe Paolo, Zhang Yili, Yu Meng, Zhang Keli, Hafiz Tiomoko Ali
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
arXiv:2606. 01498v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series data inform critical decisions across many real-world domains.
By Yaxuan Kong, Qingren Yao, Yuqi Nie, Yichen Li, Yilei Shao, Stefan Zohren, Anna Vettoruzzo, Joaquin Vanschoren, Ming Jin, Qingsong Wen
CastFlow is a role‑specialized agentic forecasting framework that combines general‑purpose tool reasoning with specialized temporal forecasting. It uses an Experience Memory to guide a frozen LLM in acquiring evidence via a multi‑view toolkit, then a lightweight specialized LLM refines predictions through evidence‑grounded reasoning. The two‑stage training strategy—supervised fine‑tuning followed by reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards—optimizes the specialized model based on final forecasting outcomes, achieving superior performance on nine out of ten real‑world benchmarks.
By Bokai Pan, Mingyue Cheng, Xiaoyu Tao, Zhiding Liu, Shuo Yu, Yuchong Wu, Qi Liu, Defu Lian, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2605.16358v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to real-world forecasting tasks, yet evaluating their true predictive capability remain...
By Mingtian Tan, Mihir Parmar, Palash Goyal, Chun-Liang Li, Nanyun Peng, Thomas Hartvigsen, Jinsung Yoon, Tomas Pfister