Hugging Face Trending Papers

Design a Reliable LLM-Integrated Interface for Mortality Forecasting

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Mortality forecasting plays an important role in actuarial and policy decision-making, but its implementation remains technically complex and inaccessible to non-expert users. This project proposes a reliable large language model (LLM)-integrated interface that improves usability while maintaining statistical power.

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arXiv AI
Aug 25

LLM-based Agents for Forecasting and Prediction: Methods, Training, Evaluation, and Applications

arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...

By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 22

SSMCGM-Stream: A Streaming State-Space Model for Personalized Diabetes Management

SSMCGM-Stream is a streaming state‑space model designed for personalized diabetes management. It updates a hidden state with each new glucose reading, enabling constant‑time forecasting, physiologically structured counterfactual reasoning, and interpretable forecasts via hidden‑state attribution. The model, evaluated on the T1DEXI cohort, matches strong neural baselines in accuracy while significantly lowering computational cost, making continuous on‑device decision support feasible.

By Shakson Isaac, Chirag Patel
arXiv AI
Oct 16

Prospective multi-pathogen disease forecasting using autonomous LLM-guided tree search

The paper introduces Empirical Research Assistance (ERA), an autonomous system that employs Large Language Model‑guided tree search to create, evaluate, and refine executable forecasting software for infectious diseases. In a real‑time evaluation during the 2025‑26 U.S. respiratory season, ERA produced diverse models for influenza, COVID‑19, and RSV, and an ensemble of these models outperformed the CDC’s gold‑standard forecast ensembles across all three pathogens. ERA also demonstrated robustness in data‑scarce RSV scenarios and showed that higher‑tier language models and specific optimization metrics can improve forecast accuracy.

By Sarah Martinson, Michael P. Brenner, Martyna Plomecka, Brian P. Williams, Nicholas G. Reich, Zahra Shamsi