arXiv Machine Learning

Conformal Prediction for Molecular Properties under Label Shift

arXiv:2608. 17678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Drug discovery and development underpins healthcare but remains costly and failure-prone.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Isotonic Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.

By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

Robust Conformalized Selection with Noisy Responses

arXiv:2607. 22985v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformalized selection has been widely applied to select high-quality candidates from large datasets with rigorous uncertainty quantification, such as reliable labeling, drug discovery, and the alignment of large language models.

By Chengyao Yu, Hongxin Wei, Bingyi Jing
arXiv AI
Jul 21

Trustworthy Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction via Reliability-Aware Multi-Engine Fusion

arXiv:2607. 17601v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate protein-ligand binding affinity prediction is central to computational drug discovery, yet modern docking engines frequently disagree without indicating which prediction to trust.

By Yongchan Hong, Defu Cao, Wenjin Liu, Thomas Ku, Jordy Homing Lam, Emily Nguyen, Willie Neiswanger, Vsevolod Katritch, Yan Liu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 20

Trustworthy Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction via Reliability-Aware Multi-Engine Fusion

Accurate protein-ligand binding affinity prediction is central to computational drug discovery, yet modern docking engines frequently disagree without indicating which prediction to trust. Consensus scoring and ensemble methods improve mean accuracy but treat all predictions identically without interpretable confidence measures or uncertainty decomposition, ignoring the chemical context of each protein-ligand pair.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 9

A Quiet Failure in Calibrated Virtual Screening: Marginal Conformal Prediction Under-Covers the Minority Class, and a Class-Conditional Fix Recovers It

arXiv:2607. 06605v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction is being adopted in drug discovery to put an honest number on model reliability: pick an error rate alpha, and the method returns prediction sets containing the true label with probability at least 1 - alpha.

By Muhammadjon Tursunbadalov (School of Science and Technology, Champions College Prep, United States), Mustafojon Tursunbadalov (School of Science and Technology, Champions College Prep, United States)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

Explainable AI for Cancer Drug Response Prediction: Beyond Univariate Feature Attributions

arXiv:2607. 00931v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting cancer drug response from transcriptomic profiles is a cornerstone of precision oncology, yet the scientific value of machine learning models hinges not solely on predictive accuracy, but also on their capacity to generate reliable biological insights.

By Martino Ciaperoni, Margherita Lalli, Simone Piaggesi, Martina Varisco, Francesco Carli, Riccardo Guidotti, Dino Pedreschi, Francesco Raimondi, Fosca Giannotti