arXiv:2501.18060v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated pr...
By Teresa Bortolotti, Y. X. Rachel Wang, Xin Tong, Alessandra Menafoglio, Simone Vantini, Matteo Sesia
arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.
By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang
arXiv:2607. 22985v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformalized selection has been widely applied to select high-quality candidates from large datasets with rigorous uncertainty quantification, such as reliable labeling, drug discovery, and the alignment of large language models.
By Chengyao Yu, Hongxin Wei, Bingyi Jing
arXiv:2602. 14913v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts.
By Farbod Siahkali, Ashwin Verma, Vijay Gupta
arXiv:2606. 31600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction and its variants, including the split conformal prediction, provide a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction intervals or sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees.
By Sayan Das, Bahram Yaghooti, Todd A. Kuffner, Soumendra N. Lahiri
arXiv:2601. 21455v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction(CP) has become a cornerstone of distribution-free uncertainty quantification, conventionally evaluated by its coverage and interval length.
By Yizhou Min, Yizhou Lu, Lanqi Li, Zhen Zhang, Jiaye Teng
The paper introduces a conformal prediction framework designed for molecular property prediction under label shift. By weighting conformal scores with marginal label probability ratios, it generates statistically rigorous prediction intervals without retraining, enabling robust uncertainty quantification when property distributions change. This approach provides actionable confidence measures that improve the reliability of AI-driven predictions in drug discovery.
By Hyeonsu Lee, Juyeon Kim, Erkhembayar Jadamba, Seungjin Choi, Hyunjin Shin
arXiv:2608. 12100v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In high-stakes applications, reliable confidence estimates are as important as the predictions themselves.
By Coby Penso
arXiv:2607. 08084v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Radiomic features derived from medical images and segmentation masks are used to support decision making in clinical imaging pipelines.
By Matt Y. Cheung, Ashok Veeraraghavan, Guha Balakrishnan
arXiv:2605. 20468v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective medication management in Parkinson's Disease (PD) is challenging due to heterogeneous disease progression, variable patient response, and medication side effects.
By Ricardo Diaz-Rincon, Muxuan Liang, Adolfo Ramirez-Zamora, Benjamin Shickel
arXiv:2609.37298v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Conformal prediction provides set-valued predictions with distribution-free coverage guarantees, making it attractive for high-stakes image classificat...
By Julio Silva-Rodr\'iguez, Ender Konukoglu
arXiv:2606. 31577v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal predictions have attracted significant attention in the field of uncertainty quantification, mainly because of their strong marginal coverage guarantees.
By Cl\'ement Fuchs, Tim Bary, Beno\^it Macq