arXiv Machine Learning

When should we trust the annotation? Selective prediction for molecular structure retrieval from mass spectra

arXiv:2603. 10950v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning methods for identifying molecular structures from tandem mass spectra (MS/MS) have advanced rapidly, yet current approaches still exhibit significant error rates.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 5

In-Context Molecular Property Prediction with LLMs: A Blinding Study on Memorization and Knowledge Conflicts

arXiv:2603. 25857v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have expanded beyond natural language processing to scientific prediction tasks, including molecular property prediction.

By Matthias Busch, Marius Tacke, Sviatlana V. Lamaka, Mikhail L. Zheludkevich, Christian J. Cyron, Christian Feiler, Roland C. Aydin
arXiv AI
Jul 21

Trustworthy Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction via Reliability-Aware Multi-Engine Fusion

arXiv:2607. 17601v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate protein-ligand binding affinity prediction is central to computational drug discovery, yet modern docking engines frequently disagree without indicating which prediction to trust.

By Yongchan Hong, Defu Cao, Wenjin Liu, Thomas Ku, Jordy Homing Lam, Emily Nguyen, Willie Neiswanger, Vsevolod Katritch, Yan Liu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 20

Trustworthy Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction via Reliability-Aware Multi-Engine Fusion

Accurate protein-ligand binding affinity prediction is central to computational drug discovery, yet modern docking engines frequently disagree without indicating which prediction to trust. Consensus scoring and ensemble methods improve mean accuracy but treat all predictions identically without interpretable confidence measures or uncertainty decomposition, ignoring the chemical context of each protein-ligand pair.

arXiv AI
Sep 10

The Accuracy Paradox: Empirical Diagnostic of Default Decision Thresholds in Multi-Label Enzyme Commission Prediction [With Code]

The study evaluates the use of default decision thresholds (t=0.50) in multi‑label enzyme commission (EC) number prediction across 14,096 compounds and six EC classes. It finds a high mean accuracy of 77.16% but low macro F1 (0.3976) and macro recall (0.3872), indicating severe class‑imbalance issues: majority classes are over‑predicted while minority classes, especially EC6, have zero recall despite reasonable ROC‑AUC. The authors recommend target‑specific threshold tuning and conformal calibration as post‑processing safeguards to expose and correct these hidden errors.

By Bilal Ahmad, Rajed Mehmood
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Conformal Prediction for Molecular Properties under Label Shift

The paper introduces a conformal prediction framework designed for molecular property prediction under label shift. By weighting conformal scores with marginal label probability ratios, it generates statistically rigorous prediction intervals without retraining, enabling robust uncertainty quantification when property distributions change. This approach provides actionable confidence measures that improve the reliability of AI-driven predictions in drug discovery.

By Hyeonsu Lee, Juyeon Kim, Erkhembayar Jadamba, Seungjin Choi, Hyunjin Shin
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

ElemeNet: Multiscale Molecular Machine Learning with Uncertainty Quantification Across the Periodic Table

arXiv:2606. 30961v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Advances in deep learning architectures and representations have enabled ML-driven chemical property prediction, but state-of-the-art (SOTA) models have remained largely confined to independent codebases and lack support for diverse chemical species.

By Jacob W. Toney, Samir Darouich, Yiran Wang, Aaron G. Garrison, Johannes K\"astner, Heather J. Kulik