arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.
arXiv:2607. 18164v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital Twins rely on surrogate models to mirror physical systems in real time, yet these models can degrade as operating conditions evolve, a phenomenon known as concept drift.
Stochastic-process models are, as a rule, far easier to simulate than to condition. Non-linear observations, non-Gaussian likelihoods, black-box information, and global constraints all induce intractable conditional laws, requiring bespoke, model-specific constructions.
arXiv:2607. 12922v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Stochastic-process models are, as a rule, far easier to simulate than to condition.
arXiv:2606. 15637v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A digital twin (DT) of a patient-specific heart offers significant potential in personalized medicine.
arXiv:2607. 00926v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generalizing machine learning models to environments that differ from their training distribution remains a critical hurdle, particularly when data from the target domain is entirely or partially unavailable.
arXiv:2609.40071v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twins increasingly support downstream analytical tasks that depend on time-series data, motivating interest in time-series foundation models...
arXiv:2608. 13621v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A hidden Markov model (HMM) combines three roles: inference of a hidden-state belief from observations, propagation through a Markov transition, and emission back to observation space.
arXiv:2607. 03190v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Scenario-based transportation analysis specifies future assumptions through aggregate population targets, whereas generative population synthesis models produce detailed individual-level realizations.
arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
arXiv:2411. 08314v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning to transform conditional probability densities over time is a fundamental challenge spanning probabilistic modeling and the natural sciences.
arXiv:2606. 27711v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce a neural network-based framework for learning time series estimators through a process we term decision-theoretic pretraining.
The paper studies when joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPAs) can recover underlying causal states from high‑dimensional observations. It introduces a latent variable model where observations arise from causal states with action‑conditioned dynamics, and proposes an information‑theoretic objective that maximizes conditional likelihood while preserving state entropy. The authors prove identifiability conditions—particularly sufficient action‑induced variation—and instantiate the objective as an action‑modulated Gaussian additive‑noise model (A‑JEPA), demonstrating theoretical and empirical success in synthetic and visual benchmarks.