arXiv:2607. 12922v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Stochastic-process models are, as a rule, far easier to simulate than to condition.
Stochastic-process models are, as a rule, far easier to simulate than to condition. Non-linear observations, non-Gaussian likelihoods, black-box information, and global constraints all induce intractable conditional laws, requiring bespoke, model-specific constructions.
arXiv:2606. 16138v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recovering dynamical systems from noisy observations is a recurring challenge across scientific domains, including neuroscience and physics.
arXiv:2605. 15806v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Neural operators excel as deterministic surrogates, but inevitably collapse to the conditional mean when applied to stochastic PDEs, discarding the variance and tail structure upon which uncertainty quantification depends.
arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.
arXiv:2608.25631v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) provide the backbone for modeling discrete stochastic dynamics across applied, physical, and biological science...
arXiv:2502. 19049v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function.
arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.
arXiv:2606. 15871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayesian inference for inverse problems is run to evaluate integrals -- posterior expectations, tail probabilities, and risks -- across a stream of observations.
arXiv:2411. 08314v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning to transform conditional probability densities over time is a fundamental challenge spanning probabilistic modeling and the natural sciences.
arXiv:2607. 19173v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have emerged as powerful tools for learning noisy or stochastic dynamics directly from data; however, existing approaches largely assume uncoupled and continuous noise, limiting their applicability to realistic stochastic drivers, and often scale poorly in time, requiring expensive autoregressive training.
arXiv:2609.37381v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) has been widely successful in inferring a relatively small number of interpretable parameters from potentially...
arXiv:2608. 01615v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a set of tools for mapping general stochastic programs to thermodynamic hardware designed for energy-efficient stochastic sampling.