arXiv:2608. 13621v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A hidden Markov model (HMM) combines three roles: inference of a hidden-state belief from observations, propagation through a Markov transition, and emission back to observation space.
arXiv:2607. 22430v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning world models that infer environment dynamics from high-dimensional observations and predict outcomes under candidate actions is central to planning and control.
arXiv:2602. 23050v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep state-space models (DSSMs) enable temporal predictions by learning the underlying dynamics of observed sequence data.
arXiv:2606. 28751v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a path-space formulation of prediction in AI world models.
arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.
arXiv:2608. 06554v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are widely used probabilistic models for discrete sequential data but can be limited when hidden dynamics are complex.
arXiv:2601. 18930v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We are interested in enabling autonomous agents to learn and reason about systems with hidden states, such as locking mechanisms.
arXiv:2608. 01587v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine-learning benchmarks often pair a label that aggregates a long temporal horizon with input observed through one or a few short windows.
arXiv:2607. 22646v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) display a striking ability to predict next observations from Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) via in-context learning (ICL), but the algorithm underlying this capability remains undetermined: prior work has proposed several candidates without consensus, and none has been grounded in the model's internal activations.
arXiv:2607. 19147v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-driven methods have revolutionized ocean modeling, yet current approaches rely heavily on complete reanalysis datasets, imposing computational constraints and limiting model performance to that of the training data.
arXiv:2507. 01414v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce a new family of toy problems that combine features of linear-regression-style continuous in-context learning (ICL) with discrete associative recall.
arXiv:2607. 07008v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A common method for the representation and analysis of time-series data is the hidden Markov model (HMM), where each observation is associated with a hidden state that evolves over time.
arXiv:2605. 15995v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Learning latent representations from complex data is central to modern machine learning, spanning temporal, multimodal, and partially observed systems.