arXiv:2604. 04342v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially observed, or stress-induced.
By Xiuyuan Cheng, Yunqin Zhu, Yao Xie
arXiv:2607. 01012v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data assimilation models state dynamics conditioned on sequential observations, and has wide-ranging scientific applications.
By Chandni Nagda, Mayank Shrivastavam Gudrun Thorkelsdottir, Gan Zhang, Morteza Mardani, Arindam Banerjee
arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.
By Zongren Zou, Th\'eo Bourdais, Ricardo Baptista, Houman Owhadi
arXiv:2504. 01894v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a bifidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution.
By Caroline Tatsuoka, Minglei Yang, Dongbin Xiu, Guannan Zhang
arXiv:2607. 05830v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The increasing uncertainty from flexible demand and renewable generation has made distributionally robust optimization (DRO) an important tool for robust power system dispatch.
By Yangze Zhou, Yihong Zhou, Thomas Morstyn, Yi Wang
arXiv:2609.20999v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Latent variable generative models are commonly fit using simple priors over latent variables, but draws from these priors often fail to produce reali...
By Shweta Dutta, Gemma E. Moran
arXiv:2609.23789v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Modern conditional generative models face significant challenges when learning complex covariate dependencies. While sufficient dimension reduction (SD...
By Wenxi Tan, Bing Li, Lingzhou Xue
arXiv:2502. 05349v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Two-stage stochastic programs (2SPs) are widely used for decision-making under uncertainty, but their practical deployment is often limited by the large number of scenarios needed to approximate the conditional distribution of uncertain outcomes.
By David Islip, Roy H. Kwon, Sanghyeon Bae, Woo Chang Kim
arXiv:2606. 05264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences.
By Moulik Gupta (Birla AI Labs), Dhruv Kumar (Birla AI Labs, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani), Murari Mandal (Birla AI Labs, Kalinga Institute of Industrial Technology), Saurabh Deshpande (Birla AI Labs)
arXiv:2609.13345v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting is central to decision-making under uncertainty, yet its methodological landscape has become increasingly fragmented across...
By Donia Besher, Rajdeep Pathak, Madhurima Panja, Tanujit Chakraborty
arXiv:2610.00873v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: In many industrial applications, 1) tabular data is scarce and imbalanced and thus requires synthetic expansion; 2) input distributions drift between...
By Hongyu Cao, Xinyuan Wang, Arun Vignesh Malarkkan, Kunpeng Liu, Haifeng Chen, Yanjie Fu
arXiv:2606. 23920v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The task of compositional generation involves using a conditional generative model, trained only on a subset of the possible conditions, to produce samples from compositionally-defined target distributions such as a geometric combination of the source distributions.
By Duncan Soiffer, Chandler Squires, Yuan Guan, Jason Hartford, Pradeep Ravikumar