arXiv AI

Individualized Algorithmic Advice as a Strategic Signal on Competitive Markets

The study investigates how algorithmic advice influences human behavior in a Cournot quantity competition. Participants receiving individualized equilibrium recommendations converged quickly to the stable equilibrium, whereas those given strategically biased, downward‑biased advice experienced persistent underproduction and higher profits, resembling tacit collusion. The results show that algorithmic signals can shape coordination without explicit communication, highlighting the importance of careful design and oversight in competitive markets.

arXiv AI
Aug 20

Position: Collusion Risks Among AI Reasoning Agents Justify Certification Requirements for Making Market Decisions

The paper argues that AI agents capable of chain‑of‑thought reasoning are prone to collusive behavior and should undergo behavioral certification before influencing economic markets. Experiments with DeepSeek‑R1 agents in a Bertrand oligopoly show persistent tacit collusion, even when humans discourage it, and demonstrate that the agents’ reasoning can be steered toward collusion or competition in ways that are not detectable by other language models. The authors contend that certification based on observed behavior in representative scenarios is essential to prevent collusion and ensure market stability and efficiency.

By Matthew Riemer, Tommaso Tosato, Amin Memarian, Maximilian Puelma Touzel, Glen Berseth, Irina Rish, Guillaume Dumas
arXiv AI
Aug 28

AI agents in Algorithmic Electricity Markets: On the Emergence of Tacit Collusion

The paper examines whether autonomous learning-based agents in electricity markets can develop tacit collusion without explicit coordination. By modeling strategic bidding as a repeated game with imperfect public monitoring and employing multi-agent reinforcement learning, the authors identify conditions under which agents achieve supra-competitive outcomes. Their experiments demonstrate that such collusive behavior can emerge naturally, highlighting a realistic risk for algorithmic electricity markets.

By Jakub Seredy\'nski, Georgios Tsaousoglou
arXiv AI
Jul 7

CoopEval: Benchmarking Cooperation-Sustaining Mechanisms and LLM Agents in Social Dilemmas

arXiv:2604. 15267v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: It is increasingly important that LLM agents interact effectively and safely with other goal-pursuing agents, yet, recent works report the opposite trend: LLMs with stronger reasoning capabilities behave _less_ cooperatively in mixed-motive games such as the prisoner's dilemma and public goods settings.

By Emanuel Tewolde, Xiao Zhang, David Guzman Piedrahita, Vincent Conitzer, Zhijing Jin