arXiv:2604. 20050v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Can Large Language Models (AI agents) aggregate dispersed private information through trading and reason about the knowledge of others by observing price movements?
Multi-agent systems are increasingly used for forecasting future events, as deliberation among multiple LLMs is believed to improve reasoning and calibration. Yet existing approaches overlook a critical design choice: what information each agent receives.
arXiv:2607. 01661v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-agent systems are increasingly used for forecasting future events, as deliberation among multiple LLMs is believed to improve reasoning and calibration.
arXiv:2512. 02436v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Prediction markets allow users to trade on outcomes of real-world events, but are prone to fragmentation with overlapping questions, implicit equivalences, and hidden contradictions across markets.
arXiv:2607. 10286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly used in trading systems, where model reasoning, tool use, and continual decisions incur costs that are expected to produce trading value.
arXiv:2407. 18957v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Can AI Agents simulate real-world trading environments to investigate the impact of external factors on stock trading activities (e.
arXiv:2607. 03015v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting future events has attracted growing attention as a testbed for general-purpose AI.
arXiv:2608. 02100v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As AI increasingly participates in human decision making, understanding how decision-making authority is distributed between humans and AI has become a fundamental behavioural question.
arXiv:2510. 05743v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We review the historical development and current trends of artificially intelligent agents (agentic AI) in the social and behavioral sciences: from the first programmable computers, and social simulations soon thereafter, to today's experiments with large language models.
arXiv:2608. 16578v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI agents increasingly operate as part of interacting systems rather than in isolation.
arXiv:2606. 31404v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human swarm intelligence demonstrates remarkable collective accuracy but faces scalability constraints in cost, coordination, and time.
With increasingly diverse and heterogeneous information sources, effectively leveraging multimodal data is becoming pivotal for high-quality financial trading. Although recent advancements in Large Language Model (LLM)-based agents have enabled the ingestion of multimodal inputs, existing methods fail to capture nuanced cross-modal dependencies and remain vulnerable to market noise, due to limited multimodal modeling, ineffective fusion mechanisms, and inadequate robustness.
arXiv:2607. 03695v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly deployed in interacting populations, raising the question of what such populations come to believe collectively.