The paper introduces a new conformal prediction framework for Distribution-to-Distribution Regression, addressing limitations of naive Split Conformal Prediction which produces non-interpretable sets. By operating in an orthogonal basis space, the method yields interpretable prediction sets while maintaining coverage guarantees. An adaptive variant achieving asymptotic conditional coverage is also presented, with empirical validation on synthetic and real-world data.
arXiv:2603.23923v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution an...
arXiv:2606. 14909v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for a pretrained classification model deployed under unknown distribution shift.
arXiv:2606. 31600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction and its variants, including the split conformal prediction, provide a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction intervals or sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees.
arXiv:2606. 31915v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While conformal prediction provides a general framework for uncertainty quantification in predictive inference, its application is often limited by computational cost.
arXiv:2501.18060v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated pr...
arXiv:2601. 02998v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many fairness and distribution robustness problems, one has access to labeled data from multiple source distributions yet the test data may come from an arbitrary member or a mixture of them.
arXiv:2511.15146v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) constructs uncertainty sets for model outputs with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Yet ranking scores is straightforwa...
arXiv:2602. 14913v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts.
arXiv:2606. 28598v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction sets should have high coverage to be useful, but some coverage notions are more practically relevant than others.
arXiv:2609.14531v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many modern prediction tasks involve data from multiple heterogeneous sources, while the test distribution may differ substantially from any individu...
arXiv:2511. 04275v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption.
arXiv:2602. 01733v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees.