arXiv Machine Learning

Neural-Bayesian Structure Learning for Discrete Choice Modeling

Neural-Bayesian Structure Learning (Neural-BSL) integrates differentiable structure learning with random-utility discrete choice estimation in a single differentiable framework. It keeps observed choices outside the graph to avoid distortion, learns attribute interactions through a structure-weighted network, and propagates interventions by updating attributes in topological order before recomputing utilities and choice probabilities. Evaluations on Seoul stated-preference and London revealed-preference data show Neural-BSL matches conventional benchmarks in predictive performance while uncovering behaviorally coherent dependency structures and revealing downstream traveler and trip adjustments under policy scenarios.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 10

Bayesian Deep Learning for Discrete Choice

arXiv:2505. 18077v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Discrete choice models (DCMs) are used to analyze individual decision-making in contexts such as transportation choices, political elections, and consumer preferences.

By Daniel F. Villarraga, Ricardo A. Daziano
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Alternative Graph Neural Networks: Synergizing GEV Models and Deep Learning for Travel Mode Choice Modeling

arXiv:2509. 07123v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generalized extreme value models capture dependence among choice alternatives in discrete choice modeling, but require this dependence to be predefined, symmetric, and shared uniformly across individuals.

By Yuqi Zhou, Zhanhong Cheng, Dingyi Zhuang, Lingqian Hu, Yuheng Bu, Shenhao Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Embedding Foundation Model Predictions in Discrete-Choice Models with Structural Guarantees

arXiv:2606. 26432v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price can increase predicted demand, implied willingness-to-pay estimates are frequently negative or implausible, and unavailable alternatives receive nonzero probability.

By Yingshuo Wang, Xian Sun, Yanhang Li, Zhichao Fan, Zexin Zhuang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 1

Neural ODE enhanced linear mixed effect models for estimating complex association patterns of time-varying covariates with the marker trajectory

The paper introduces Neural ODE-LMM, a hybrid model that integrates a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation into a linear mixed‑effects framework to flexibly learn time‑varying associations between exposures and outcomes. By encoding covariate trajectories into a continuous‑time latent state, the method preserves standard likelihood inference while capturing complex, potentially cumulative effects without pre‑specifying functional forms. Simulations demonstrate accurate recovery of instantaneous and cumulative effects, and application to the 3C cohort uncovers BMI and fasting glucose trajectories linked to cognitive decline.

By Zhe Aurore Li, Quentin Clairon, C\'ecilia Samieri, Rodolphe Thi\'ebaut, M\'elanie Prague, C\'ecile Proust-Lima