arXiv:2505. 18077v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Discrete choice models (DCMs) are used to analyze individual decision-making in contexts such as transportation choices, political elections, and consumer preferences.
arXiv:2603. 24705v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Discrete choice models are fundamental tools in management science, economics, and marketing for understanding and predicting decision-making.
arXiv:2609.31570v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning has substantially accelerated the calibration of complex stochastic-volatility models, but neural point calibration alone does not captur...
arXiv:2207. 12877v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Motivated by the successes of deep learning, we propose a class of neural network-based discrete choice models, called RUMnets, inspired by the random utility maximization (RUM) framework.
Conventional discrete choice and machine learning models are estimated primarily from observational data and typically treat explanatory covariates as parallel inputs, providing no internal mechanism...
Neural-Bayesian Structure Learning (Neural-BSL) integrates differentiable structure learning with random-utility discrete choice estimation in a single differentiable framework. It keeps observed choices outside the graph to avoid distortion, learns attribute interactions through a structure-weighted network, and propagates interventions by updating attributes in topological order before recomputing utilities and choice probabilities. Evaluations on Seoul stated-preference and London revealed-preference data show Neural-BSL matches conventional benchmarks in predictive performance while uncovering behaviorally coherent dependency structures and revealing downstream traveler and trip adjustments under policy scenarios.
arXiv:2607. 13314v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) generate predictions on structured data via in-context learning, without task-specific estimation.
arXiv:2606. 26432v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price can increase predicted demand, implied willingness-to-pay estimates are frequently negative or implausible, and unavailable alternatives receive nonzero probability.
arXiv:2509. 07123v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generalized extreme value models capture dependence among choice alternatives in discrete choice modeling, but require this dependence to be predefined, symmetric, and shared uniformly across individuals.
arXiv:2601. 07944v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex, large-scale predictive problems.
While publicly available electricity market data presents a valuable resource for forecasting research, the field lacks established benchmark datasets for standardized comparison. As a result, many st...
The paper presents a comparative study of six deep learning models—state-space, MLP, RNN, and Transformer-based architectures—for cross-border electricity price forecasting using publicly available data. It focuses on generalization across markets and evaluates performance under low-data target-market conditions (zero-shot, one-shot, few-shot) with a standardized dataset for the Germany‑Luxembourg bidding zone in 2024. Results show that N‑HiTS and NBEATSx perform competitively in limited‑data scenarios, while transformer models achieve comparable accuracy but require more adaptation and tuning, and that careful feature selection and hyperparameter tuning improve performance.
arXiv:2606. 01468v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Due to their explicit priors and ability to model uncertainty, Bayesian methods have played a major role in dynamical latent variable modeling of single-cell neural recordings.