arXiv:2603. 24705v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Discrete choice models are fundamental tools in management science, economics, and marketing for understanding and predicting decision-making.
By Easton Huch, Michael Keane
arXiv:2207. 12877v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Motivated by the successes of deep learning, we propose a class of neural network-based discrete choice models, called RUMnets, inspired by the random utility maximization (RUM) framework.
By Ali Aouad, Antoine D\'esir
arXiv:2607. 13314v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) generate predictions on structured data via in-context learning, without task-specific estimation.
By Liu Liu, Dan Zhang
arXiv:2606. 26432v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price can increase predicted demand, implied willingness-to-pay estimates are frequently negative or implausible, and unavailable alternatives receive nonzero probability.
By Yingshuo Wang, Xian Sun, Yanhang Li, Zhichao Fan, Zexin Zhuang
arXiv:2509. 07123v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generalized extreme value models capture dependence among choice alternatives in discrete choice modeling, but require this dependence to be predefined, symmetric, and shared uniformly across individuals.
By Yuqi Zhou, Zhanhong Cheng, Dingyi Zhuang, Lingqian Hu, Yuheng Bu, Shenhao Wang
arXiv:2601. 07944v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex, large-scale predictive problems.
By Roy Shivam Ram Shreshtth, Arnab Hazra, Gourab Mukherjee
arXiv:2606. 01468v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Due to their explicit priors and ability to model uncertainty, Bayesian methods have played a major role in dynamical latent variable modeling of single-cell neural recordings.
By JR Huml, Jonathan Wenger, John P. Cunningham
arXiv:2604. 14575v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Marketing research often relies on parameters estimated from costly human-generated data, such as conjoint survey responses, purchase decisions, and field experiment outcomes.
By Cheng Lu, Mengxin Wang, Dennis J. Zhang, Heng Zhang
arXiv:2607. 28854v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Discrete choice modeling is a common tool used for preference elicitation during policy-making, but this is typically done through parametric models.
By Sheng Lun Christine Cao, Destenie Nock, Alex Davis
arXiv:2412. 11257v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: For many complex simulation tasks spanning areas such as healthcare, engineering, and finance, Monte Carlo (MC) methods are invaluable due to their unbiased estimates and precise error quantification.
By Fengpei Li, Haoxian Chen, Jiahe Lin, Arkin Gupta, Xiaowei Tan, Honglei Zhao, Gang Xu, Yuriy Nevmyvaka, Agostino Capponi, Henry Lam
arXiv:2607. 28248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical domains demands reliable estimates of predictive confidence, yet conventional architectures lack principled uncertainty quantification.
By H. Martin Gillis, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2605. 12764v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper introduces a physics-informed generative framework that resolves the fundamental conflict between the statistical flexibility of deep learning and the rigorous theoretical constraints of fixed-income modeling.
By Fusheng Luo, H'elyette Geman