arXiv Machine Learning

OpFlow: Learning Opportunity-Conditioned Choice Potentials for Robust OD Flow Prediction

arXiv:2607. 03200v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Origin-destination (OD) flow prediction is central to urban analytics, yet deep models trained on raw counts remain vulnerable to distribution shift.

arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Relative Transitions, Not Absolute Destinations: A Transfer-and-Ground Framework for Target-Trajectory-Free Human Mobility Generation

The paper introduces Nomad, a transfer-and-ground framework for generating human mobility trajectories without target-city trajectory data. It learns relative transitions from source cities using POI attributes and then grounds these transitions onto a target city’s POI map via a behavior graph and exploration–return walk. Experiments across ten cities show Nomad improves trajectory fidelity and downstream utility by roughly 15% and 3% respectively over adaptation baselines.

By Yidi Wang, Yunhe Zhang, Bangchao Deng, Dingqi Yang, Pengyang Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

Inferring Urban Mobility Interactions from Aggregated Dynamics

The paper demonstrates that real‑time urban mobility patterns can be reconstructed from aggregated area‑level counts, without tracking individuals. Using a physics‑informed, uncertainty‑aware framework, the authors infer future origin‑destination flows across twelve datasets from the U.S. and China, achieving accuracy comparable to models that use historical OD matrices. Probabilistic modeling corrects underestimation of sparse corridors, and architectures that preserve spatial heterogeneity before reconstructing pairwise interactions yield more faithful interaction estimates.

By Yi Wang, Jing Li, Jinliang Deng, Zhenghong Wang, Yizhi Zhang, Fan Zhang, Ivor W. Tsang, Yu Liu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Capturing Context-Aware Route Choice Semantics for Trajectory Representation Learning

arXiv:2510. 14819v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Trajectory representation learning (TRL) aims to encode raw trajectory data into low-dimensional embeddings for downstream tasks such as travel time estimation, mobility prediction, and trajectory similarity analysis.

By Ji Cao, Yu Wang, Tongya Zheng, Jie Song, Qinghong Guo, Zujie Ren, Canghong Jin, Gang Chen, Mingli Song
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

Learning to Transfer Across Modes: Towards Unified Urban Mobility Forecasting

The paper introduces TransMod, a unified framework for forecasting urban mobility demand across multiple transportation modes. It creates a shared zone-level spatial representation to align systems with different spatial granularities, reducing structural mismatch and distributional shift. TransMod then learns transferable spatio-temporal patterns from data-rich source modes and adapts them to data-scarce target modes, improving forecasting performance when target data is limited.

By Yixuan Zhao, Man Luo