arXiv Machine Learning

An analysis of machine learning approaches for enhancing decision-making in complex discrete choice tasks

arXiv:2607. 28854v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Discrete choice modeling is a common tool used for preference elicitation during policy-making, but this is typically done through parametric models.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 10

Bayesian Deep Learning for Discrete Choice

arXiv:2505. 18077v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Discrete choice models (DCMs) are used to analyze individual decision-making in contexts such as transportation choices, political elections, and consumer preferences.

By Daniel F. Villarraga, Ricardo A. Daziano
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Embedding Foundation Model Predictions in Discrete-Choice Models with Structural Guarantees

arXiv:2606. 26432v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models achieve strong accuracy on choice prediction tasks, but their predictions often violate the economic logic those tasks require: raising a price can increase predicted demand, implied willingness-to-pay estimates are frequently negative or implausible, and unavailable alternatives receive nonzero probability.

By Yingshuo Wang, Xian Sun, Yanhang Li, Zhichao Fan, Zexin Zhuang
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Multitask Reinforcement Learning for Assisting Choice Model Specification

Delphos is a multitask reinforcement learning framework that automates discrete choice model specification by treating it as a sequential decision-making problem. It learns transferable specification strategies across multiple transport choice datasets using a DeepSet‑Q architecture, enabling a shared policy to adapt to varying variable sets. Trained on nine datasets, Delphos outperforms single‑task agents, and when applied to unseen Swissmetro and Decisions datasets, it quickly identifies competitive specifications with higher log‑likelihoods than existing methods.

By Gabriel Nova, Stephane Hess, Sander Van Cranenburgh
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Neural-Bayesian Structure Learning for Discrete Choice Modeling

Neural-Bayesian Structure Learning (Neural-BSL) integrates differentiable structure learning with random-utility discrete choice estimation in a single differentiable framework. It keeps observed choices outside the graph to avoid distortion, learns attribute interactions through a structure-weighted network, and propagates interventions by updating attributes in topological order before recomputing utilities and choice probabilities. Evaluations on Seoul stated-preference and London revealed-preference data show Neural-BSL matches conventional benchmarks in predictive performance while uncovering behaviorally coherent dependency structures and revealing downstream traveler and trip adjustments under policy scenarios.

By Hyunsoo Yun, Eun Hak Lee, Jiaru Zhang, Ziran Wang, Eui-Jin Kim
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Learning Heterogeneous Preferences

The paper introduces a method for learning heterogeneous, individually conditioned utility functions—termed individuated utility—by leveraging rational choice theory. It presents a multi-stage architecture that estimates these functions from multimodal data and evaluates it on a large dataset of aesthetic judgments about automotive wheel designs. Results show that individuated models outperform universal utility models and foundation baselines, indicating that annotator disagreement reflects meaningful preference diversity.

By Shiwali Mohan, Matt Hong, Dule Shu, Aniek Fransen, Shabnam Hakimi, Matt Klenk
arXiv AI
Jul 21

From Weights to Words: Expressing and Editing Preference Model Inferences in Natural Language

arXiv:2607. 16232v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The growing use of statistical learning algorithms to infer human preferences from high-dimensional choice data runs up against a fundamental challenge: choice alternatives typically differ in many ways simultaneously, so it is generally unclear which factors actually drove an observed decision and should be credited as preferences.

By Zachary Wojtowicz, Ayush Nayak, Jacob Andreas
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Alternative Graph Neural Networks: Synergizing GEV Models and Deep Learning for Travel Mode Choice Modeling

arXiv:2509. 07123v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generalized extreme value models capture dependence among choice alternatives in discrete choice modeling, but require this dependence to be predefined, symmetric, and shared uniformly across individuals.

By Yuqi Zhou, Zhanhong Cheng, Dingyi Zhuang, Lingqian Hu, Yuheng Bu, Shenhao Wang