Unlocking air traffic flow prediction through microscopic aircraft-state modeling
arXiv:2605. 10083v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management.
arXiv:2605. 10083v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management.
arXiv:2606. 25122v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autonomous aerial vehicles operating in shared airspace must predict the future positions of non-cooperative obstacles to plan evasive maneuvers before a collision becomes unavoidable.
RiskTraf introduces a risk-extrapolated residual learning approach for multi-variate traffic flow prediction, leveraging raw flow, speed, and occupancy data from the new PEMSB-3V benchmark. The method freezes a trained spatio-temporal backbone and adds a lightweight residual head that learns from historical speed and occupancy to correct flow predictions across different traffic regimes. Experiments show consistent improvements over various backbones and outperform existing debiasing and distribution-shift adaptation techniques.
Variational Streaming Flow (VSF) extends the efficient Streaming Flow (SF) framework by learning a latent distribution conditioned on system dynamics, enabling probabilistic forecasting in physical time. Unlike SF’s deterministic velocity field, VSF produces multiple plausible future trajectories, improving predictive accuracy and distributional fidelity across deterministic and stochastic dynamical systems. The method supports long‑horizon rollouts over 1,000 steps, handles bifurcating dynamics, and can be integrated as a plug‑and‑play predictor into Joint‑Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) world models to enhance navigation, motion planning, and manipulation tasks.
arXiv:2602.08318v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Flow matching (FM) is increasingly used in scientific domains for time series generation and forecasting, where data often arise from underly...
arXiv:2606. 11019v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Learning-based motion planners, despite recent progress, often suffer from temporal inconsistency.
arXiv:2602.14049v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Spatio-temporal traffic forecasting is a core component of intelligent transportation systems, supporting various downstream tasks such as si...
arXiv:2608.28981v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As air traffic volumes in the National Airspace System continue to expand, in particular in the low altitude airspaces, the need for scalable decision...
arXiv:2510. 23636v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Flight delay prediction has become a key focus in air traffic management (ATM), as delays reflect inefficiencies in the system.
arXiv:2609.13878v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal traffic data are central to intelligent transportation systems, yet their heterogeneity poses significant challenges for large-scale mo...
arXiv:2510. 03381v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Interchanges are crucial nodes for vehicle transfers between highways, yet the lack of real-time ramp detectors creates blind spots in traffic prediction.
arXiv:2510. 14819v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Trajectory representation learning (TRL) aims to encode raw trajectory data into low-dimensional embeddings for downstream tasks such as travel time estimation, mobility prediction, and trajectory similarity analysis.