arXiv AI

Proxy Reconstruction Pre-training for Ramp Flow Prediction at Highway Interchanges

arXiv:2510. 03381v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Interchanges are crucial nodes for vehicle transfers between highways, yet the lack of real-time ramp detectors creates blind spots in traffic prediction.

arXiv AI
Sep 18

FedeRICo: Federated Region-Influenced Coupling for Traffic Flow Prediction

FedeRICo is a federated traffic forecasting framework that addresses heterogeneity across client sensor subgraphs by combining gradient-level collaboration with boundary-aware residual communication. It uses a dual-branch architecture: a globally guided branch for transferable forecasting structure and a private residual branch that preserves client-specific corrections and incorporates boundary residual signals. Experiments on four real-world traffic benchmarks show that FedeRICo outperforms state‑of‑the‑art federated spatial‑temporal baselines while keeping training runtime competitive.

By Fermin Orozco, Man Luo, Johan Wahlstr\"om
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

PatchFormer: A Patch-Based Time Series Foundation Model with Hierarchical Masked Reconstruction and Cross-Domain Transfer Learning for Zero-Shot Multi-Horizon Forecasting

arXiv:2601.20845v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting is a fundamental problem with applications in climate, energy, healthcare, and finance. Many existing approaches require do...

By Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov, Derya Umut Kulali, Taner Yilmaz
arXiv AI
Aug 24

RiskTraf: Risk-Extrapolated Residual Learning for Multi-Variate Traffic Flow Prediction

RiskTraf introduces a risk-extrapolated residual learning approach for multi-variate traffic flow prediction, leveraging raw flow, speed, and occupancy data from the new PEMSB-3V benchmark. The method freezes a trained spatio-temporal backbone and adds a lightweight residual head that learns from historical speed and occupancy to correct flow predictions across different traffic regimes. Experiments show consistent improvements over various backbones and outperform existing debiasing and distribution-shift adaptation techniques.

By Guangyu Wang, Zhidan Liu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Efficient Traffic Prediction at Scale: A Systematic Study of STGCN Architectural Depth

arXiv:2606. 09539v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have become the dominant approach for traffic prediction, yet their computational requirements pose challenges for practical deployment in intelligent transportation systems (ITS).

By Soban Nasir Lone, Mohamed Abouelela, Taeyoung Yu, Jiwon Kim, Constantinos Antoniou