arXiv:2608. 04051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series are often governed by recurring patterns, but their dominant periods may vary across datasets, forecasting settings, and individual input windows.
By Jung Min Choi, Vijaya Krishna yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme
arXiv:2606. 27688v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In financial forecasting, predictive performance depends not only on which model is trained, but also on how the trained model is deployed.
By Riku Green, Zahraa S. Abdallah, Telmo M Silva Filho
Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy. We take the opposite position: most of the gap can be closed at far lower cost by tuning preprocessing rather than scaling models.
arXiv:2606. 27282v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy.
By Lang Huang, Jinglue Xu, Luke Darlow
arXiv:2608. 13262v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have advanced primarily through architectural innovation, while training regimes for large-scale heterogeneous corpora remain under-explored.
By Hongjie Xia, Yiding Liu, Yifan Hu, Peiyuan Liu, Zewei Dong
arXiv:2606. 16112v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Residual architectures are ubiquitous in deep learning, but they suffer from a subtle structural limitation: the norm of the residual stream can grow rapidly with depth.
By Tom\'as Figliolia, Beren Millidge
arXiv:2607. 03763v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Federated Transformer training increasingly relies on local AdamW, whose adaptive updates can provide much stronger local progress than SGD-based training.
By Shuai Li, Qinglin Wang, Ping Luo, Jiahuan Wang, Hongyang Hu, Haotian Mo, Yigui Feng, Ziang Liu, Qisong Xiao, Jie Liu, Tao Sun
arXiv:2607. 09537v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting requires models to capture diverse, often mutually exclusive, temporal dynamics, from smooth trend continuation to nonstationary drift and strict phase-aligned recurrence.
By Qitai Tan, Ruiwen Gu, Yilin Su, Mo Li, Xu Lin, Xiao-Ping Zhang
arXiv:2606. 01339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware.
By Mirza Samad Ahmed Baiga, Syeda Anshrah Gillani
arXiv:2505. 15354v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-series forecasting is a critical task in various business domains, but it remains inherently challenging.
By Hamza Cherkaoui, Malik Tiomoko, Giuseppe Paolo, Zhang Yili, Yu Meng, Zhang Keli, Hafiz Tiomoko Ali
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares