arXiv Machine Learning

PatchFormer: A Patch-Based Time Series Foundation Model with Hierarchical Masked Reconstruction and Cross-Domain Transfer Learning for Zero-Shot Multi-Horizon Forecasting

arXiv AI
Oct 9

Timer-M1: A Multivariate Time Series Foundation Model via Learning Primitives

Timer‑M1 is a pretrained multivariate time‑series foundation model that learns with primitives for zero‑shot forecasting. It uses a primitive‑based data synthesis and pretraining pipeline to generate series with shared temporal and relational patterns, assembling them into multivariate samples with distinct channel roles. The model employs gated two‑dimensional Transformer blocks that dynamically allocate cross‑variate attention, achieving top performance on several large‑scale forecasting benchmarks.

By Haoran Zhang, Haixuan Liu, Xingjian Su, Yong Liu, Zhi Chen, Yuxuan Wang, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng Long
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

A Hybrid Attention Model Learning Unified Time-aware Patch Representation for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

The paper introduces a hybrid attention model that learns a unified time‑aware patch representation for irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) forecasting. It employs a time‑aware patch encoding to embed variable‑length intra‑patch timestamps, a time bias attention mechanism to adjust for temporal misalignment and asynchronous cross‑channel dependencies, and a hybrid causal mask on a decoder‑only Transformer to balance historical context with autoregressive forecasting. The authors also curate VersaTSA, a 30 B‑observation dataset preserving native sampling sparsity, and demonstrate state‑of‑the‑art zero‑shot performance on three IMTS benchmarks while remaining competitive on regular MTS tasks.

By Zhihao Lin, Li Lin, Qi Zhang, Kaiwen Xia, Shuai Wang, Jialin Qiao
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

One Step Closer to Ground Truth: A Multi-Scale Residual-Aware Representation Learning Pipeline for Predicting Time Series Data

arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.

By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv AI
Aug 26

In-Context Inpainting for Time Series Forecasting

The paper introduces ICI-Time, a framework that casts time series forecasting as a visual inpainting problem. By converting series into area‑chart images, it enables pre‑trained vision transformers to perform forecasting through in‑context learning without fine‑tuning or new temporal architectures. Experiments on epidemiology, meteorology, and power systems show competitive performance and strong adaptability in low‑data scenarios.

By Thang Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Romero Morais, Truyen Tran