Pre-AF 13: An Interpretable Atrial Fibrillation Risk Score Mined from Discharge Reports
arXiv:2606. 10725v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Background.
The study presents a clinically interpretable machine‑learning framework that estimates biological age (BA) using a CatBoost regression model trained on 44 diverse predictors from NHANES data. SHAP values are leveraged not only for visual interpretation but also through an automated quantitative procedure that identifies feature‑value ranges linked to the lowest and highest BA contributions, including zero‑crossing thresholds. The resulting BA estimates correlate strongly with chronological age and highlight key predictors such as blood urea nitrogen, serum glucose, and vigorous activity, offering transparent, reproducible insights for precision health research.
arXiv:2606. 10725v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Background.
arXiv:2606. 09860v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects roughly 25% of global adults, posing substantial hepatic and cardiovascular risks.
arXiv:2608.29301v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting future organ dysfunction in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients is critical for early clinical intervention, yet existing machine learning ap...
The paper introduces a statistically grounded framework for interpretable, rule-based clinical classification using Bernoulli Naïve Bayes (BNB). It employs supervised chi‑square‑guided binarization to convert continuous medical variables into binary indicators, enabling BNB to handle continuous data while maintaining transparency. On three benchmark datasets—Pima Indians Diabetes, Wisconsin Breast Cancer, and Heart Failure Prediction—the method achieved AUCs of 0.800, 0.984, and 0.919, respectively, and demonstrated reliable probability calibration through cross‑validated analysis and post‑hoc beta calibration.
The study uses large-scale telehealth data and machine learning to classify self‑reported chronic kidney disease (CKD) status and identify key risk factors. A customized stacked ensemble model achieved balanced accuracy of 72.56–76.12% and AUROC of 79.59–82.29%. SHapley Additive exPlanations revealed that regular medical check‑ups, age, blood pressure, and mental health stress indicators are critical predictors of CKD.
arXiv:2608. 07522v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a structured review of commonly used Explainable machine learning (XML) methodologies, including global and local interpretability tools such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), Partial Dependence Plots (PDP), and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots.
arXiv:2606. 30702v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Structured tabular data dominates clinical medicine, yet existing benchmarks fail to reflect real-world properties like complex survey sampling, demographic oversampling, and subgroup fairness.
The study evaluates whether inflammatory biomarkers can predict cognitive impairment in older Hispanic adults using interpretable machine learning on a small clinical dataset. A leakage‑safe Bernoulli/Categorical Naive Bayes model was trained on 165 participants from the Panama Aging Research Initiative, with continuous predictors discretized via supervised chi‑square and income treated categorically. The biomarker I‑309 (CCL1) emerged as the sole reliable incremental predictor, boosting ROC‑AUC from 0.630 to 0.740 and achieving statistically significant performance across repeated cross‑validation and random partitions.
arXiv:2607. 15394v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Black-box models limit the adoption of artificial intelligence in medicine due to their lack of interpretability and reproducibility.
The paper introduces the General Demographic Pre-trained (GDP) model, a lightweight foundation model that learns representations from the two most common clinical attributes—age and sex. By optimizing encoding and visit‑reordering strategies, GDP embeddings are shown to improve predictive performance when concatenated with raw features across various disease and geographic cohorts. The model outperforms several state‑of‑the‑art tabular foundation models and tree‑based algorithms, demonstrating that enriched demographic embeddings can enhance classification tasks while remaining fully compatible with standard classifiers.
arXiv:2606. 16056v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Dysglycemia, encompassing both prediabetes and diabetes, affects huge numbers of adults worldwide, yet many of them remain undiagnosed.
arXiv:2608. 02803v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Attention-based multiple instance learning (ABMIL) is the predominant approach for slide-level prediction in computational pathology, yet its attention maps provide only local explanations: they indicate where a model focuses but not which histological features drive its predictions or how the model behaves across a patient cohort.