arXiv Machine Learning

Tailoring Strictly Proper Scoring Rules for Downstream Tasks: An Application to Causal Inference

arXiv:2606. 03332v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 2

Tailoring Strictly Proper Scoring Rules for Downstream Tasks: An Application to Causal Inference

Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation. This disconnect is especially critical in Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) for causal inference, where propensity score errors near $0$ and $1$ often lead to high bias and variance.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network with Inverse Propensity Score under Unobserved Confounding

arXiv:2606. 27114v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios.

By Haoran Zhang, Chuanpu Li, Yuxin Fu, Bin Tong, Guan Wang, Bo Zheng, Feng Zhou
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network with Inverse Propensity Score under Unobserved Confounding

Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios. In this paper, we propose the Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network (CHAUN) and Robust Adversarial Inverse Propensity Score (RA-IPS) method to address these limitations.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Automatic, Debiased, and Invariant Counterfactual Generation under General Interventions

arXiv:2606. 07399v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models for counterfactual outcomes have great potential to support decision-making under complex interventions, but existing approaches are limited by unstable estimation, poor generalization across environments, and bias from nuisance model misspecification.

By Raphael C Kim, Jingsen Zhu, Ramin Zabih, Michele Santacatterina
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 5

Causal Inference with Unstructured Outcomes

arXiv:2608. 03085v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal inference has traditionally centered on scalar outcomes: whether a patient recovers, how much a worker earns, or how many visits a website receives.

By Kevin Christian Wibisono, Yixin Wang