arXiv:2608. 16070v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable global ocean forecasting is critical for climate monitoring, marine navigation, and extreme event early warning.
arXiv:2605.15470v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Ocean dynamics are inherently chaotic, yet existing machine learning ocean models produce only deterministic forecasts. We introduce Njord, a proba...
arXiv:2608. 04230v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning models for scientific spatio-temporal downscaling often minimize reconstruction error while failing to preserve physically meaningful multi-scale structure.
arXiv:2512. 03606v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable.
arXiv:2606. 12141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of sea surface temperature (SST) in regional seas such as the East Sea is crucial for monitoring marine ecosystems, assessing climate risks, managing fisheries, and conducting naval operations.
HClimRep‑Ocean is a machine‑learning emulator that operates directly on the native unstructured mesh of the FESOM2 ocean model, trained on a 209‑year AWI‑CM3 control run and run without atmospheric forcing except at initialization. It shows strong skill for current forecasts at 30‑day lead times, outperforming all references, while temperature and salinity forecasts are best served by a damped‑anomaly persistence approach. In independent OceanBench testing, a reanalysis‑trained variant achieves the lowest RMSE against GLORYS reanalysis, demonstrating the competitiveness of the native‑mesh approach.
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
Neptune is an end‑to‑end data‑driven framework that emulates global ocean and sea‑ice states for subseasonal‑to‑seasonal (S2S) forecasting up to 60 days. It combines Convolutional Neural Networks and Spherical Fourier Neural Operators to capture both local features and global cross‑scale interactions, producing daily outputs for temperature, salinity, currents, sea‑surface height, and sea‑ice metrics at 1° and 0.25° resolution. Evaluated against metrics such as RMSE, CRPS, ACC, and climate indices (ENSO, IOD), Neptune reproduces the spatio‑temporal evolution of oceanic fields and remains stable over long timescales.
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting is societally critical, supporting decision-making in sectors ranging from water and agricultural management to disaster risk reduction, energy planning, and...
arXiv:2607. 19147v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-driven methods have revolutionized ocean modeling, yet current approaches rely heavily on complete reanalysis datasets, imposing computational constraints and limiting model performance to that of the training data.
arXiv:2610.29313v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multimodal ocean modeling remains challenging due to substantial heterogeneity in data structures, physical semantics, and spatiotemporal characteristi...