arXiv Machine Learning

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting

arXiv AI
Jun 26

Sampling sea state using a diffusion model

arXiv:2606. 26389v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Sea state prediction is essential for operational maritime applications and coupled earth system modeling, yet current spectral wave models remain computationally prohibitive for many use cases, including online coupling to climate simulations and making probabilistic (ensemble-based) predictions.

By Jiarong Wu, Bertrand Chapron, Laure Zanna
arXiv AI
Jul 22

Incomplete Observations Boost Evolutionary Performance in Ocean Modeling

arXiv:2607. 19147v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-driven methods have revolutionized ocean modeling, yet current approaches rely heavily on complete reanalysis datasets, imposing computational constraints and limiting model performance to that of the training data.

By Yangyang Kong, Yutong Jiang, Yanhai Gan, Junyu Dong, Feng Gao, Xiaopei Lin
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

PCA-Enhanced Adaptive NVAR Framework for High-Resolution Sea Surface Temperature Forecasting in the East Sea

arXiv:2606. 12141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of sea surface temperature (SST) in regional seas such as the East Sea is crucial for monitoring marine ecosystems, assessing climate risks, managing fisheries, and conducting naval operations.

By Sherkhon Azimov, Susana L\'opez-Moreno, Eric Dolores-Cuenca, JinYong Choi, Sangil Kim
arXiv AI
Oct 7

Textual Environmental Context and Spatial Graphs for LLM-Based Regional SST Forecasting

The paper introduces a method for sea surface temperature (SST) forecasting that combines textual environmental context with spatial graph representations for large language models (LLMs). Historical SST and anomaly sequences, date‑aligned environmental records, and static ocean knowledge are provided as textual input, while a static graph captures geographic–climatological relations and a dynamic graph captures recent SST correlations and tropical‑cyclone influence. The approach achieves the lowest mean absolute error and highest R² among compared methods over ten forecast steps in the South China Sea, and includes a rule‑based module that links predicted trends to source‑linked contextual explanations.

By Xiong Li, Xiaowei Zhou, Yanwei Yu, Qian Cui, Junyu Dong
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.

By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

Topology enables learning-based hydrodynamic prediction of the global river system

arXiv:2602.22293v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate river prediction is essential for water, food and energy security, yet remains challenging across entire river networks. Machine learning...

By Hancheng Ren, Gang Zhao, Shuo Wang, Louise Slater, Dai Yamazaki, Shu Liu, Jingfang Fan, Xueying Li, Shibo Cui, Ziming Yu, Shengyu Kang, Depeng Zuo, Dingzhi Peng, Zongxue Xu, Bo Pang