The study proposes a diagnostic-guided approach to choose between stochastic and deterministic longitudinal imaging models based on whether inter-visit changes are driven by disease progression or acquisition variability. Applied to a large, heterogeneous Optos fundus autofluorescence archive, the diagnostic revealed weak time-dependent changes and limited benefit from stochastic models, leading to the development of the deterministic Temporal Retinal U‑Net (TRU). TRU outperformed other classical and deep‑learning comparators on image‑level and eye‑specific progression metrics across held‑out and independent zero‑shot transfer cohorts, though with slightly lower precision in a smaller cross‑vendor cohort.
By Liyin Chen, Souvick Mukherjee, Ines Maria De Carvalho Lains, Nazlee Zebardast, Mengyu Wang, Tobias Elze, Jason I. Comander
Deep learning framework GLAM predicts glaucoma progression rates from longitudinal Humphrey 24‑2 visual field data and five clinical features, achieving a mean absolute error of 0.139 dB yr⁻¹ and an AUC of 0.990 for fast‑progressor detection. Using attention‑based fusion and aleatoric uncertainty, GLAM outperforms a ridge regression baseline by 73.5% in MD‑rate prediction. The model demonstrates that visual field data alone can match multimodal pipelines for progression prognostication.
By Taiabur Rahman, Siddiqur Rahman, Muhammad Moniruzzaman, Ummay Kawsar, Sayedatunnessa Ratna, Shadman Siddique, Rafsan Siddique, Tausif Ahmad, Tahsin Ahmad, Golam Rabbani
arXiv:2609.12834v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Modelling how a disease progresses over time requires longitudinal imaging cohorts, which are scarce and small, whereas cross-sectional data -- one ima...
By Ifeoma Veronica Nwabufo, Julius Gervelmeyer, Sarah M\"uller, Philipp Berens
arXiv:2509.25549v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Choroidal nevi are common benign pigmented lesions in the eye, with a small risk of transforming into melanoma. Early detection is critical t...
By Mohammadmahdi Eshragh, Emad A. Mohammed, Behrouz Far, Ezekiel Weis, Carol L Shields, Sandor R Ferenczy, Trafford Crump
This study presents four deep‑learning pipelines—two‑dimensional and three‑dimensional—for segmenting age‑related macular degeneration (AMD) and diabetic macular edema (DME) lesions in optical coherence tomography (OCT) images. The models achieve Dice scores between 0.76 and 0.82 and demonstrate strong volumetric and surface calibration (r_vol, r_surf ≥ 0.97) on an in‑domain validation set. Generalization was assessed on the OLIVES clinical cohort using proxy metrics such as biomarker AUROC, central subfield thickness correlation, and longitudinal concordance, showing that the predictions still track clinical biomarkers outside the training distribution, albeit with reduced strength.
By Lucia Sundberg, Zhihao Zhao, M. Ali Nasseri
The paper introduces an ordinal latent diffusion model for generating color fundus images that incorporates the ordered structure of diabetic retinopathy (DR) severity, using a scalar disease representation instead of categorical conditioning. Evaluations on the EyePACS dataset show improved visual realism, with reduced Fréchet inception distance for most stages and a higher quadratic weighted κ from 0.79 to 0.87. Interpolation experiments demonstrate the model captures a continuous spectrum of disease progression derived from coarse, ordered labels.
By Gustav Schmidt, Philipp Berens, Sarah M\"uller