arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
arXiv:2507. 08150v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling.
By Ilia Azizi, Juraj Bodik, Jakob Heiss, Bin Yu
arXiv:2607. 18162v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The soft-label Bayes-error estimator beta(z) = E[min(z, 1-z)] of Ishida et al.
By Shreyas Pradeepkumar Khandale
arXiv:2606. 25188v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for trustworthy large-scale learning.
By Kun Jin, James Harrison, Jiawei Li, Sihan Liu, Jiayi Liu, Randolph Linderman, Yuening Li, Arnab Bhadury, Sourabh Prakash Bansod, Liang Liu, Jasper Snoek
arXiv:2605. 26703v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The classic concept of "calibrated forecasts" and its more recent refinement, "calibeating," are defined with respect to the standard quadratic scoring rule.
By Dean P. Foster, Sergiu Hart
arXiv:2608. 10372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-hoc calibration aligns a classifier's predicted confidences with its empirical accuracy without retraining.
By Lening Zhao, Qipeng Zhan, Li Shen