arXiv Machine Learning By Anirban Chatterjee, Rina Foygel Barber

A Ranking Approach for Measuring Calibration

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The paper introduces rankECE, a new metric for assessing calibration error in predictive models. Unlike the widely used Expected Calibration Error (ECE), rankECE compares predictions with neighboring probability values, offering theoretical guarantees and empirical evidence that it better approximates ECE than traditional binned methods.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Proper Calibeating

arXiv:2605. 26703v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The classic concept of "calibrated forecasts" and its more recent refinement, "calibeating," are defined with respect to the standard quadratic scoring rule.

By Dean P. Foster, Sergiu Hart
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 1

When Calibration Rankings Reverse: Accuracy-Controlled Evaluation for Fair Comparison of LLMs

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By Zhichao Yang, Caiqi Zhang, Ruihan Yang, Chengzu Li, Nigel Collier, Deqing Yang