arXiv Machine Learning By Ilia Azizi, Juraj Bodik, Jakob Heiss, Bin Yu

CLEAR: Calibrated Learning for Epistemic and Aleatoric Risk

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2507. 08150v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate uncertainty quantification is critical for reliable predictive modeling.

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arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Uncertainty-Aware Learning from Multi-Expert Interval Targets

The paper introduces a method for learning from multiple experts who provide interval labels, addressing both within‑label imprecision and between‑expert variation. It harmonizes diverse label vocabularies into a shared probabilistic space, retains individual intervals using a mixture of Beta distributions, and decomposes predictive uncertainty into components that are matched to their corresponding sources of label uncertainty. On sea‑ice concentration data, the approach achieves a 31% reduction in mean absolute error compared to hard‑label baselines and outperforms several aggregation and interval‑regression methods.

By Samira Alkaee Taleghan, Younghyun Koo, Andrew P. Barrett, Farnoush Banaei-Kashani