arXiv:2606. 16961v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a convolutional variational autoencoder for cryptocurrency implied-volatility surfaces, together with a deployable predictor that combines it with a quadratic smile re-fit through a deterministic per-tenor routing rule.
arXiv:2608. 01217v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Local-stochastic volatility (LSV) combines vanilla marginals with richer smile dynamics, but calibration requires a slow, noisy and sequential McKean--Vlasov fixed point.
arXiv:2606. 17065v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern option-learning systems operate in two coordinates: price space, where markets quote and no-arbitrage constraints are most naturally enforced, and implied volatility (IV) space, where volatility surfaces are smoothed, regularized, and evaluated.
The paper introduces the Finance‑Aware Graph Spatio‑Temporal Network (FA‑GSTN) for forecasting realized volatility by treating the implied volatility surface as a dynamic graph. Nodes represent grid points on the surface, with edges capturing adaptive intra‑day spatial and explicit inter‑day temporal relationships, while finance‑aware node features (e.g., option Greeks) and a multi‑scale temporal smoothing gate address high‑frequency noise. Experiments on a large equity options dataset show FA‑GSTN achieves state‑of‑the‑art predictive accuracy (R² up to 0.473) and outperforms Vision Transformer baselines even with only one year of training data, demonstrating robustness during market stress.
arXiv:2509. 13374v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We develop and audit a history-aware financial path generator based on Denoising Levy Probabilistic Models (DLPMs) for conditional equity-index path generation.
MoFE is a deep learning framework that combines Fourier Neural Operators with a Mixture-of-Experts architecture to forecast cryptocurrency prices. It models volatility as a mix of multi-frequency components—including fundamental growth, mining costs, halving events, and market sentiment—using adaptive FNO and convolutional experts. Experiments on Bitcoin data from 2020 to 2025 show MoFE outperforms existing models in short‑term horizons, reducing phase‑lag errors and improving directional accuracy and information coefficient, which translates into higher Sharpe ratios in simulated trading.
arXiv:2605. 12764v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper introduces a physics-informed generative framework that resolves the fundamental conflict between the statistical flexibility of deep learning and the rigorous theoretical constraints of fixed-income modeling.
arXiv:2608. 00675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autoregressive models accumulate error over long rollouts, yet at deployment there is no ground truth to measure it against.
arXiv:2607. 07207v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We analyze how four forces restructure the AI industry over 2026-2030: the DRAM/HBM price surge, frontier-capable open-weight models (GLM-5.
arXiv:2606. 03003v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A latent world model built from an equivariant encoder $E$ and an equivariant predictor $f$ inherits a provable symmetry of its training loss: when the world's dynamics genuinely carries a group $G$ acting on latents by an orthogonal representation $\rho(g)$, the one-step prediction relMSE is exactly invariant across the whole group, so fitting the dynamics on a restricted slice of orientations mathematically determines it on the entire orbit (j\v{u} y\=i f\v{a}n s\=an).
arXiv:2608. 11675v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Coupon campaigns seek to lift both conversion and revenue, but gross merchandise value (GMV) follows a deterministic funnel from conversion to conditional order value and is zero-inflated and heavy-tailed.
arXiv:2608.30446v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Small-cap-inclusive equity universes contain recently listed and intermittently traded securities, so enforcing a common look-back discards a substan...
arXiv:2607. 09906v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present, to our knowledge, the first adaptation of Pauli Correlation Encoding (PCE) to quantum topological data analysis, reformulating Betti number estimation as a depth-efficient variational optimization over a compressed qubit register.