arXiv:2608. 01217v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Local-stochastic volatility (LSV) combines vanilla marginals with richer smile dynamics, but calibration requires a slow, noisy and sequential McKean--Vlasov fixed point.
By Xiaozhen Wang, Ana\"is Despr\'es, Martin Dureau, Francois Buet-Golfouse
arXiv:2606. 17065v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern option-learning systems operate in two coordinates: price space, where markets quote and no-arbitrage constraints are most naturally enforced, and implied volatility (IV) space, where volatility surfaces are smoothed, regularized, and evaluated.
By Raeid Saqur, Yannick Limmer, Anastasis Kratsios, Blanka Horvath, Hans Buehler
arXiv:2509. 13374v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We develop and audit a history-aware financial path generator based on Denoising Levy Probabilistic Models (DLPMs) for conditional equity-index path generation.
By Helin Zhao, Junchi Shen
arXiv:2605. 12764v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper introduces a physics-informed generative framework that resolves the fundamental conflict between the statistical flexibility of deep learning and the rigorous theoretical constraints of fixed-income modeling.
By Fusheng Luo, H'elyette Geman
arXiv:2608. 00675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autoregressive models accumulate error over long rollouts, yet at deployment there is no ground truth to measure it against.
By Alexander Scheinker
arXiv:2607. 07207v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We analyze how four forces restructure the AI industry over 2026-2030: the DRAM/HBM price surge, frontier-capable open-weight models (GLM-5.
By Satoshi Matsuoka
arXiv:2606. 03003v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A latent world model built from an equivariant encoder $E$ and an equivariant predictor $f$ inherits a provable symmetry of its training loss: when the world's dynamics genuinely carries a group $G$ acting on latents by an orthogonal representation $\rho(g)$, the one-step prediction relMSE is exactly invariant across the whole group, so fitting the dynamics on a restricted slice of orientations mathematically determines it on the entire orbit (j\v{u} y\=i f\v{a}n s\=an).
By Hongbo Wang (Stony Brook University)
arXiv:2608. 11675v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Coupon campaigns seek to lift both conversion and revenue, but gross merchandise value (GMV) follows a deterministic funnel from conversion to conditional order value and is zero-inflated and heavy-tailed.
By Yu Zhang (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Zhihan Wang (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Guanlin Chen (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Min Jiang (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Shuai Li (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China)
arXiv:2607. 09906v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present, to our knowledge, the first adaptation of Pauli Correlation Encoding (PCE) to quantum topological data analysis, reformulating Betti number estimation as a depth-efficient variational optimization over a compressed qubit register.
By Arul Rhik Mazumder, Shreyan Ronit Mazumder
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2607. 13929v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial observations are continuous, heterogeneous, and noisy, whereas decoder-only next-token models are usually built around discrete symbolic inputs.
By Yiming Ma, Xinyu Chen
arXiv:2607. 27188v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate option prices do not imply accurate recovery of the latent risk-neutral density.
By Lennon J. Shikhman, Michael Galarnyk, Aadi Dash, Nicholas A. Welsh