arXiv:2602. 12972v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In online advertising, marketing interventions such as coupons introduce significant confounding bias into Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction.
By Siyun Yang, Shixiao Yang, Jian Wang, Di Fan, Kehe Cai, Haoyan Fu, Jiaming Zhang, Wenjin Wu, Peng Jiang
arXiv:2607. 05242v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Personalized incentive allocation is vital for e-commerce, where uplift modeling is the standard for estimating Individual Treatment Effects (ITE).
By Zuwang He, Shihao Shu, Yuli Qu, Hanyu Gao, Ziliang Zhang, Diwei Chen, Xiangda Yan, Buyu Gao, Tanchao Zhu, Yumeng Li, Junxiong Zhu
arXiv:2607. 08202v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating original-space conditional expectations is central to value-driven recommender systems, including dwell time, GMV, and LTV forecasting.
By Mingyu Zhao, Zhaohan Li, Zhenxiong Miao, Xu Zhang, Dewei Leng, Yanan Niu, Kun Gai
Personalized incentive allocation is vital for e-commerce, where uplift modeling is the standard for estimating Individual Treatment Effects (ITE). However, traditional models often fail in complex multi-seller environments with violations of the Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption (SUTVA).
arXiv:2607. 07343v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Online truckload bid acceptance is a closed-loop stochastic decision problem in which a carrier or broker must, in real time, accept or reject a tendered load subject to operational feasibility, fleet repositioning costs, and opportunity cost against future demand.
By Aswin Chandrasekaran
arXiv:2608. 10050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Small and medium-sized businesses need timely financial guidance, yet historical accounting logs record self-selected and often co-occurring business changes rather than randomized recommendations.
By Shrutendra Harsola, Vignesh Subrahmaniam, Vikas Raturi, Kamalika Das, Xiang Gao, Kratika Gupta, Ruocheng Guo, Padmaja Jonnalagedda, Ananya Pramod, Sricharan Kumar
arXiv:2607. 13929v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial observations are continuous, heterogeneous, and noisy, whereas decoder-only next-token models are usually built around discrete symbolic inputs.
By Yiming Ma, Xinyu Chen
arXiv:2608. 02911v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Revenue forecasts guide acquisition budgets, demand planning, and customer-based valuations, yet an aggregate forecast does not show whether change reflects acquisition, repeat purchasing, spending per order, or offsetting movements.
By Kyeongbin Kim, Daniel McCarthy, Dokyun Lee
arXiv:2608. 02305v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Active feature acquisition (AFA) asks which unobserved feature to measure next for each test instance under a budget.
By Jiaorong Feng, Qian Li, Ying Li
arXiv:2604. 05845v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Auto-bidding services optimize real-time bidding strategies for advertisers under key performance indicator (KPI) constraints such as target return on investment and budget.
By Linghui Meng, Chun Gan, Shengsheng Niu, Chengcheng Zhang, Chenchen Li, Chuan Yang, Yi Mao, Xin Zhu, Jie He, Zhangang Lin, Ching Law
arXiv:2607. 19383v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Pretrained generative foundation models cast forecasting as conditional generation from a learned predictive distribution and forecast unseen series zero-shot.
By Ahmed Cherif
arXiv:2606. 24950v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial decision-making is contextual: forecasting prices, valuing companies, and assessing event exposure weigh price history, accounting fundamentals, macroeconomic regime, and contemporaneous text.
By Patara Trirat, Jin Myung Kwak, Jay Heo, Heejun Lee, Sung Ju Hwang