Revenue forecasts guide acquisition budgets, demand planning, and customer-based valuations, yet an aggregate forecast does not show whether change reflects acquisition, repeat purchasing, spending per order, or offsetting movements. Using weekly transaction panels for 966 companies in 25 industries, the authors develop the Customer-Based Multi-task Transformer (CBMT), which learns shared structure, retains separate primitive forecasts, and aligns their combination with downstream revenue.
Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.
arXiv:2606. 08896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially.
By Qianyang Li, Xingjun Zhang, Shaoxun Wang, Tao Peng, Jia Wei
arXiv:2608. 07037v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Small businesses often have only 12-24 months of accounting history, yet planning and risk workflows require coordinated forecasts across financial statements.
By Shrutendra Harsola, Vignesh Subrahmaniam
arXiv:2607. 13331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retail demand forecasts are reused across replenishment, capacity, labor, and transportation planning cycles.
By Jize Li, Jiani He, Dishu Yang, Dingyan Shang, Jingjing Liu, Shiqi Huang
arXiv:2607. 16354v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Retail demand forecasting remains difficult when demand shifts faster than static forecasting models can be retrained, especially in early demand cycles where newly observed labels are sparse.
By Zhiwei Lei, Benedict Jun Ma, Ilya Jackson
arXiv:2607. 15705v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate load forecasting at multiple grid levels is essential for future smart grids, ranging from aggregated control area forecasts for balancing supply and demand to forecasts of individual end-consumer loads for demand-side management and energy management systems.
By Matthias Hertel, Sebastian P\"utz, Jonathan Kolar, Benjamin Sch\"afer, Ralf Mikut, Veit Hagenmeyer
arXiv:2606. 17931v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In recent years, electronic (E) commerce services have rapidly increased in the daily lives of people, which helpsthem to purchase products online.
By Degala Pushpa Sri, Mayank Atreya, Lakshmi. H, Navin Chhibber, Mukesh Soni
arXiv:2608. 11675v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Coupon campaigns seek to lift both conversion and revenue, but gross merchandise value (GMV) follows a deterministic funnel from conversion to conditional order value and is zero-inflated and heavy-tailed.
By Yu Zhang (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Zhihan Wang (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Guanlin Chen (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Min Jiang (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China), Shuai Li (AMap Alibaba Group, Beijing, China)
arXiv:2607. 18530v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Supplier lead time forecasting is a central input to material requirements planning, inventory optimization, and supply chain risk management.
By Christopher Wang, Sebastien Ouellet, Behrouz Haji Soleimani, Ali Etemad
arXiv:2608. 14106v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When forecasting hourly returns for 1,000 US equities, we observe an unexpected phenomenon: predictions become nearly flat and show poor stock ranking, as measured by cross-sectional correlation.
By Shu Wan, Miles Ma, Hank Zhu, Guangqi Liu, Stephen Wang, Qingsong Wen, Huan Liu
arXiv:2608. 12680v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Item demand forecasting is an integral component of store assortment optimization.
By Lakshya Garg, Deep Narayan Mishra, Swapnil Yadav, Haoan Wang, Sujal Alugubelli, Karthik Kumaran, Anupriya Sharma