Accuracy-Preserving Stability Regularization for Large-Scale Retail Demand Forecasting
arXiv:2607. 13331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retail demand forecasts are reused across replenishment, capacity, labor, and transportation planning cycles.
arXiv:2607. 16354v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Retail demand forecasting remains difficult when demand shifts faster than static forecasting models can be retrained, especially in early demand cycles where newly observed labels are sparse.
arXiv:2607. 13331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retail demand forecasts are reused across replenishment, capacity, labor, and transportation planning cycles.
arXiv:2609.13840v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A contract-logistics spare-parts operator is paid on order-level service: an order counts only if every requested line is fulfilled, yet forecasters ar...
arXiv:2609.14718v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Demand forecasting is critical in modern industry, offering opportunities to reduce costs and gain competitive advantage through improved inventory man...
arXiv:2505. 16319v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate demand estimation is critical for the retail business in guiding the inventory and pricing policies of perishable products.
arXiv:2505. 16319v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate demand estimation is critical for the retail business in guiding the inventory and pricing policies of perishable products.
arXiv:2608.30944v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In online retailing, when a product sells out, a retailer often sees only the units sold, not how many customers would have bought it had inventory bee...
Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.
CEDAR is a two‑stage framework for demand forecasting that incorporates planned actions and external event signals. Stage I uses an Action‑Interleaved Transformer to model controllable state transitions under interventions, while Stage II applies a Residual Correction Module that aligns event descriptions with product context using LLM‑assisted text representations. Experiments on a large Alibaba 1688 dataset show that CEDAR improves simulation accuracy over traditional time‑series forecasting baselines and benefits real‑world budget planning.
arXiv:2606. 13741v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents the design, development, and implementation of a specialized forecast-then-optimize algorithmic pricing tool for sales campaigns in fashion e-commerce.
arXiv:2606. 08896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially.
arXiv:2602. 05799v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study non-stationary single-item, periodic-review inventory control problems in which the demand distribution is unknown and may change over time.
The paper introduces Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits (BCCB), an online framework that learns individual treatment effects, explores uncertain users, and manages budget pacing simultaneously. It derives a per-arrival decision rule from a KKT condition of a Lagrangian relaxation, providing a principled algorithmic foundation. Experiments on the Criteo Uplift dataset show BCCB outperforms offline pipelines and other online baselines, especially when historical data is scarce (below 7,500 observations).