arXiv AI

A Predict-then-Correct Loop Based on Few-Shot Continuous Contextual Bandit for Demand Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 16354v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Retail demand forecasting remains difficult when demand shifts faster than static forecasting models can be retrained, especially in early demand cycles where newly observed labels are sparse.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

FAME: Forecastability-Aware Mixture of Experts for Heterogeneous Time Series Forecasting

Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 15

High-Frequency Pricing at Scale for E-Commerce

arXiv:2606. 13741v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents the design, development, and implementation of a specialized forecast-then-optimize algorithmic pricing tool for sales campaigns in fashion e-commerce.

By Stefan Birr, Tobias Huelden, Mones Raslan, Adele Gouttes, Andreas Schmitt, Mateusz Koren, Johannes Stephan, Robert Streek, Manuel Kunz, Tim Januschowski
arXiv AI
Jul 9

Large Behavior Model: A Promptable Digital Twin of the Retail Customer

arXiv:2607. 06993v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Customer behavior modeling underpins recommendation, marketing, and decision support, yet existing approaches either optimize predictive accuracy without explaining decisions or simulate users without grounding them in real behavioral data.

By Wachiravit Modecrua, Krittin Pachtrachai, Touchapon Kraisingkorn
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

Human-in-the-Loop Contextual Bandits for Short-Term Rental Dynamic Pricing: Structural Equivalence of Historical Warm-Up and Approval-Gated Live Learning

arXiv:2606. 02595v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Dynamic pricing in short-term rental (STR) markets presents a distinctive challenge for online learning algorithms: pricing decisions carry significant financial risk, operators require explainability, and market feedback is sparse (one booking outcome per listed night).

By Oleg Miroshnichenko
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 3

Forecasting Revenue with its Customer-Base Drivers: When and Why Coordination Helps

Revenue forecasts guide acquisition budgets, demand planning, and customer-based valuations, yet an aggregate forecast does not show whether change reflects acquisition, repeat purchasing, spending per order, or offsetting movements. Using weekly transaction panels for 966 companies in 25 industries, the authors develop the Customer-Based Multi-task Transformer (CBMT), which learns shared structure, retains separate primitive forecasts, and aligns their combination with downstream revenue.