arXiv Machine Learning

CTRL-FM: Inference-Time Structural Control for Flow-Based Virtual Sensing under Long-Horizon Node Outages

CTRL‑FM is a flow‑matching framework that preserves observed sensor data while inferring missing values during long‑horizon node outages. It treats structural guidance as an inference‑time decision, selecting among uncontrolled, graph‑dominant, temporal‑dominant, and balanced policies based on self‑supervised proxy outages and local reliability estimates. Experiments on PeMS08, METR‑LA, Air‑36, and AQI show that CTRL‑FM outperforms existing graph, diffusion, and flow‑based methods, especially under 30% and 60% node outages, and degrades gracefully up to 75% sensor loss.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 5

TSGuard: A Real-Time Framework for Detecting and Imputing Missing Data in Streaming Time Series

TSGuard is a real‑time framework that monitors, validates, and imputes missing values in streaming time series. It uses a lightweight graph‑aware temporal imputation model combined with constraint‑aware validation, fallback estimation, and operator‑facing explanations. The system integrates detection, imputation, and domain‑aware decision making—retaining or replacing values based on physical and spatial constraints—within a broader data‑quality loop, and offers interactive tools for operators to inspect and compare imputers in real time.

By Imane Hocine, Asma Abboura, Soror Sahri, Abhijith Senthilkumar, Yacine Hakimi, Gr\'egoire Danoy
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 16

AsyncCouple-Flow: Asynchronous Cross-Modal Coupling and Flow Matching for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

AsyncCouple-Flow introduces a new framework for multi‑modal spatio‑temporal forecasting that tackles three key challenges: differing sampling rates, missing modalities, and autoregressive error accumulation. It employs a Modality‑Aware Token Sparsification module to produce equal‑length sequences, an Asynchronous Cross‑Modal Coupling Graph to fuse data under arbitrary asynchrony and missingness, and a Flow‑Matching Forecasting Head that models multi‑step prediction as a conditional ODE. Experiments on weather and traffic datasets demonstrate that the method outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines and remains robust even when up to two modalities are missing.

By Zhixiang Wu, Yining Liu, Bo Zhao, Szu-Yu Chen, Huiran Duan, Chu Lin, Chuanguang Yang
arXiv AI
Sep 17

Reliable Virtual Sensing: A Multi-Domain Benchmark for Robustness Under Sensor Failures

The paper introduces MuViS-C, a multi‑domain benchmark that evaluates the robustness of learning‑based virtual sensing models against ten common sensor failure modes, ranging from subtle drifts to catastrophic dropouts. It assesses models using average error, relative degradation, and worst‑case fragility across nine datasets from six domains, comparing six architectures (gradient‑boosted trees, convolution, recurrence, attention, and MLP‑mixing). The study finds that all models degrade under corruption, gradient‑boosted trees are most robust, and targeted robustification can improve attention models at the cost of nominal performance.

By Jens U. Brandt, Noah C. Puetz, Alexander Windmann, Marc Hilbert, Elena Raponi, Thomas B\"ack, Thomas Bartz-Beielstein
arXiv AI
Aug 24

RiskTraf: Risk-Extrapolated Residual Learning for Multi-Variate Traffic Flow Prediction

RiskTraf introduces a risk-extrapolated residual learning approach for multi-variate traffic flow prediction, leveraging raw flow, speed, and occupancy data from the new PEMSB-3V benchmark. The method freezes a trained spatio-temporal backbone and adds a lightweight residual head that learns from historical speed and occupancy to correct flow predictions across different traffic regimes. Experiments show consistent improvements over various backbones and outperform existing debiasing and distribution-shift adaptation techniques.

By Guangyu Wang, Zhidan Liu
arXiv AI
Aug 26

Evaluating Deep Multivariate Imputation Models on Wearable Device Data

The paper introduces a new evaluation protocol for deep multivariate imputation models on wearable device data, addressing the issue of structured missingness where sensor features drop out together. Using a Garmin smartwatch dataset from an epilepsy patient, the authors generate realistic block-missing patterns from training data and show that matching the training protocol to this distribution reduces BRITS’ mean absolute error by 43%. They also extend BRITS with time‑of‑day encoding and compare it to linear interpolation and SAITS, finding that no single model dominates and that model rankings vary with evaluation design.

By Skye Goodman, Roussel Desmond Nzoyem, Leandro Junges, Peter Kissack, Yasser Qureshi, Amberly Brigden, Jeff Clark, Nawid Keshtmand