arXiv:2610. 38225v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world forecasting often requires integrating heterogeneous evidence whose predictive value varies across horizons, operating regimes, and domains.
arXiv:2609.05905v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LLM agents are increasingly used for live forecasting, where they retrieve up-to-date information and produce estimates for unresolved future events....
arXiv:2606. 02497v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting has advanced rapidly, especially with the emergence of foundation models that show strong zero-shot performance on numerical extrapolation.
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.
arXiv:2609.24862v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning s...
The paper investigates when forecasting agents should employ different behaviors—retrieval, reasoning, deferring to market priors, or using historical analogs—on binary forecasting tasks. It finds that the optimal mechanism depends on the data source, with structured analogs excelling for some processes and market or conservative baselines for others. The authors propose ReliabilityRoute, a rule‑based system that steers agent behavior using reliability features, achieving competitive performance across multiple LLM versions while highlighting that more reasoning is not always better.
MACTS-EM is a new multi‑agent framework for time series forecasting that combines domain‑specialised agents, a meta‑cognitive allocation layer, emergent memory for cross‑domain transfer, multimodal context integration, and adversarial robustness. The authors evaluate the system on financial, climate, energy, and pandemic data, reporting 8‑12% higher accuracy, 22‑27% better zero‑shot transfer, 16‑21% greater resilience to regime shifts, and 15‑18% faster recovery from distribution changes compared to existing methods. These results suggest that collaborative, agent‑based approaches can outperform traditional architectures in complex, real‑world forecasting tasks.
arXiv:2608.30976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate doma...
Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...
Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning strategies, and intervention rules inherently time...
CastFlow is a role‑specialized agentic forecasting framework that combines general‑purpose tool reasoning with specialized temporal forecasting. It uses an Experience Memory to guide a frozen LLM in acquiring evidence via a multi‑view toolkit, then a lightweight specialized LLM refines predictions through evidence‑grounded reasoning. The two‑stage training strategy—supervised fine‑tuning followed by reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards—optimizes the specialized model based on final forecasting outcomes, achieving superior performance on nine out of ten real‑world benchmarks.
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.