arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
arXiv:2609.05905v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: LLM agents are increasingly used for live forecasting, where they retrieve up-to-date information and produce estimates for unresolved future events....
By Yuanpu Cao, Yongkang Du, Yurui Chang, Lu Lin, Jinghui Chen
Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...
CTRL is a new framework for time‑series forecasting that separates semantic reasoning from quantitative prediction. It uses a frozen backbone to produce base forecasts, while LLM agents act as controllers that analyze prediction errors by decomposing them into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. The agents generate compact control signals that a lightweight residual decoder uses to correct the forecasts, and the system can adapt at test time to distribution shifts with only a few LLM calls.
By Minkyoung Kim, Daeun Ji, Yohan Lee, Beomsoo Kim, Beakcheol Jang
arXiv:2609.24862v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning s...
By Yifan Hu, Xilin Dai, Zhiyuan Qu, Yiding Liu, Zewei Dong, Jiang-ming Yang, Qiang Xu
Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning strategies, and intervention rules inherently time...
arXiv:2608.30976v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate doma...
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Ze Guo, Bokai Pan, Qi Liu, Shijin Wang, Enhong Chen
KairosAgent is an agentic framework that combines a large language model (LLM) reasoner with a time series foundation model (TSFM) forecaster to tackle cross‑domain multimodal time series forecasting. It dynamically invokes analytical tools to improve the LLM’s numerical comprehension and semantic reasoning, then fuses the reasoning outcomes into the TSFM pipeline for more accurate predictions. The approach is further enhanced by a curated large‑scale trajectory corpus and a reinforcement learning paradigm with multi‑turn refinement and turn‑level credit assignment, achieving superior zero‑shot forecasting performance.
By Kun Feng, Ziwei Shan, Yuchen Fang, Yiyang Tan, Sihan Lu, Shuqi Gu, Xingyu Lu, Lintao Ma, Kan Ren
arXiv:2606. 01498v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series data inform critical decisions across many real-world domains.
By Yaxuan Kong, Qingren Yao, Yuqi Nie, Yichen Li, Yilei Shao, Stefan Zohren, Anna Vettoruzzo, Joaquin Vanschoren, Ming Jin, Qingsong Wen
Forecast-Dojo is a replayable environment designed to benchmark and train large language model (LLM) forecasting agents. It integrates resolved prediction‑market questions with dated news, enabling agents to research events and revisit predictions at successive historical dates. The platform includes 1,568 Polymarket events, 18.8 million dated news articles, and supports repeated evaluation, training interactions, and outcome feedback, with evidence that research tools lower Brier scores across 12 tested models, though all models still lag behind historical market forecasts.
By Liqin Ye, Haorui Wang, Fardin Ahmed, Rongzhi Zhang, Yuan He, Ziyuan Lin, Yanbin Yin, Jing Peng, Michael Galarnyk, Sudheer Chava, Chao Zhang
arXiv:2606. 05404v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series are often embedded in rich contexts that are essential for holistic modeling.
By Zihao Li, Kaifeng Jin, Yuanchen Bei, Jiaru Zou, Avaneesh Kumar, Xuying Ning, Yanjun Zhao, Mengting Ai, Baoyu Jing, Hanghang Tong, Jingrui He