arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...
By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
The paper introduces Cast‑R1, an 8‑billion‑parameter agentic forecasting model that learns to orchestrate analytical and prediction tools through trajectory distillation and multi‑turn reinforcement learning with structured memory. The training pipeline first generates multi‑turn interaction trajectories using a teacher LLM, then fine‑tunes the agent with supervised learning and group relative policy optimization, guided by rewards for accuracy and temporal structure. Experiments across several datasets show that Cast‑R1 effectively equips smaller language models with tool‑augmented, multi‑turn forecasting capabilities within structured workflows.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Yaguo Liu, Xingpeng Gao, Qingsong Wen, Shijin Wang, Enhong chen
arXiv:2506. 10630v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures.
By Yitong Zhou, Yucong Luo, Mingyue Cheng, Qi Liu, Jiahao Wang, Daoyu Wang, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2506.10630v4 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techni...
By Yitong Zhou, Yucong Luo, Mingyue Cheng, Qi Liu, Jiahao Wang, Daoyu Wang, Enhong Chen
KairosAgent is an agentic framework that combines a large language model (LLM) reasoner with a time series foundation model (TSFM) forecaster to tackle cross‑domain multimodal time series forecasting. It dynamically invokes analytical tools to improve the LLM’s numerical comprehension and semantic reasoning, then fuses the reasoning outcomes into the TSFM pipeline for more accurate predictions. The approach is further enhanced by a curated large‑scale trajectory corpus and a reinforcement learning paradigm with multi‑turn refinement and turn‑level credit assignment, achieving superior zero‑shot forecasting performance.
By Kun Feng, Ziwei Shan, Yuchen Fang, Yiyang Tan, Sihan Lu, Shuqi Gu, Xingyu Lu, Lintao Ma, Kan Ren